Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
AEK Athens to win
Our track record
In 1,939 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.5% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 2,959 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 794 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.3% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,442 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,242 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 45.0% of the time (bookmakers said 44.3%).
Our model’s pick
Shakhtar Donetsk 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,447 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.6% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Our model’s pick
AEK Athens 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 64.1%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Shakhtar Donetsk–
AEK Athens–Winner
12 72%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Shakhtar Donetsk–AEK Athens–Winner
12 72%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 56% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 35% | 65% | 69% | 31% |
 | 31% | 69% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 96% | 4% |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
26%
1-1
18%
X-X
17%
X-1
13%
X-2
13%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Shakhtar DonetskAEK AthensBoth Teams to Score
Shakhtar DonetskAEK AthensOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Shakhtar DonetskAEK AthensOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Shakhtar DonetskAEK AthensFirst Half Result
Shakhtar DonetskAEK AthensCorrect Score
Shakhtar DonetskAEK Athens