Home
Leagues
Champions League
Real Betis vs Porto

Real Betis vs Porto 3-2 Score & Prediction Review

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)

Fair result

Real Betis

3–2

Porto

2.4Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Real Betis would usually take 2.0 points and Porto 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Real Betis.

Real Betis +1.0 pts vs chancesPorto −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Real Betis vs Porto stats: how the match was played

Champions League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Real Betis had clearly more shots on target

Real Betis

Porto

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

56%

Possession

44%

The match between Real Betis and Porto ended 3-2. Our AI model predicted an Porto win at 45% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Borussia Dortmund – Real Betis prediction & betting tips (Nov 4, 2026).

Real Betis vs Porto — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Porto to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Real Betis to win.

Our model 45%Bookmakers 30%

Our track record

In 1,057 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 2,379 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Real Betis Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Betis 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Real Betis 2+ goals.

Our model 64%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 387 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.8% than to our 60–65%.

Porto Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Porto 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 54%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,013 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Real Betis vs Porto 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Real Betis vs Porto. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Champions League - Europe

Real Betis3

Porto2

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

· FT

Champions League - Europe

Real Betis3

Porto2

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

132%

X24%

245%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	43%	57%	54%	46%	78%	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	43%	57%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	54%	46%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	33%	67%	64%	36%	85%	15%	94%	6%
	24%	76%	54%	46%	78%	22%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	33%	67%	64%	36%
	24%	76%	54%	46%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	85%	15%	94%	6%
	78%	22%	91%	9%

1st Half

122%

X46%

233%

1st Score

141%

X6%

254%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

1-1

16%

X-X

15%

X-2

15%

X-1

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.6%

0-1

8.8%

1-2

8.3%

2-1

7.2%

0-2

7.0%

1-0

6.6%

2-2

5.7%

0-0

5.5%

1-3

4.7%

2-0

4.4%

0-3

3.6%

2-3

3.6%

3-1

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Real Betis vs Porto — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Porto

0/3

Real Betis

0/3

Both Teams to Score

Porto

1/3

Real Betis

2/3

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Porto

1/3

Real Betis

1/3

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Porto

2/3

Real Betis

1/3

First Half Result

Porto

2/3

Real Betis

1/3

Correct Score

Porto

0/3

Real Betis

0/3

correct predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Borussia Dortmund – Real Betis prediction & betting tips (Nov 4, 2026).