Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Fenerbahçe to win
Our track record
In 102 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 25.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 31.0% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,136 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,029 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.2%).
Our model’s pick
Fenerbahçe ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 2,083 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Aston Villa 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 70 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 54.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 65–70%.
Our model’s pick
Fenerbahçe 2+ goals
Our track record
In 540 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Aston Villa–
Fenerbahçe–Winner
2 53%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Aston Villa–Fenerbahçe–Winner
2 53%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 38% | 62% | 68% | 32% |
 | 18% | 82% | 45% | 55% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 70% | 30% | 87% | 13% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
38%
X-2
17%
1-1
12%
X-X
12%
X-1
8%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.3%
0-1
8.0%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
0-3
5.0%
1-0
5.0%
0-0
4.2%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FenerbahçeAston VillaBoth Teams to Score
FenerbahçeAston VillaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FenerbahçeAston VillaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FenerbahçeAston VillaFirst Half Result
FenerbahçeAston VillaCorrect Score
FenerbahçeAston Villa