- Home
- Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe 6-0 Score & Prediction Review
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
Aston Villa6–0
FenerbahçeOn these chances Aston Villa would usually take 2.1 points and Fenerbahçe 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Aston Villa.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe stats: how the match was played
Champions League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Aston Villa had more than twice the shots on target
Aston Villa
Fenerbahçe
11
Shots on target
4
3
Big chances
3
9
Corners
7
0
Yellow cards
2
45%
Possession
55%
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Fenerbahçe to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Aston Villa to win.
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,379 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Fenerbahçe ahead at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Aston Villa ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,228 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Aston Villa 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Aston Villa 2+ goals.
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Fenerbahçe 2+ goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Fenerbahçe 0–1 goals.
Our track record
In 635 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe 6-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Aston Villa6
Fenerbahçe0Winner
2 56%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Aston Villa6Fenerbahçe0Winner
2 56%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42% | 58% | 71% | 29% |
| 17% | 83% | 43% | 57% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 68% | 32% | 85% | 15% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
39%
X-2
18%
X-X
12%
1-1
10%
X-1
8%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
1-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.2%
0-3
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
1-0
5.0%
0-0
5.0%
2-3
4.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FenerbahçeAston VillaBoth Teams to Score
FenerbahçeAston VillaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FenerbahçeAston VillaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FenerbahçeAston VillaFirst Half Result
FenerbahçeAston VillaCorrect Score
FenerbahçeAston Villa