Brick wall
5/10Swansea City kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 24%).
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Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Riding their luck
Swansea City are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+5points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Swansea City 33% to winQueens Park Rangers 39%
Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City score prediction
Championship
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.7 goals in total, in line with the Championship average of 2.7.
goals expected
Queens Park Rangers1.4Swansea City1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Championship
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Queens Park Rangers to win
Our model 41%Bookmakers 39%
Our track record
In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 61%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 2,449 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 5,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 65%Bookmakers 73%
Our track record
In 2,379 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 6,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Queens Park Rangers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Queens Park Rangers 0–1 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Swansea City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Swansea City 0–1 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 2,651 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Queens Park Rangers–
Swansea City–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Queens Park Rangers–Swansea City–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
141%
X24%
234%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 56% | 44% |
| 29% | 71% | 61% | 39% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
132%
X43%
225%
1st Score
152%
X5%
243%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
X-X
16%
2-2
16%
X-1
15%
X-2
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
0-0
5.1%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
2-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City: the stats that stand out
Championship
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Swansea City: brick wall · Queens Park Rangers: shot-shy
5/10Shot-shy
4/10Queens Park Rangers failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 24%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City: attack vs defence
Championship
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Championship teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Queens Park Rangers: good attack, good defence (1.71 xG, 1.14 xGA a game)
- Swansea City: good attack, good defence (1.44 xG, 1.26 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City form and luck check
Championship
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Championship gamesSwansea City are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Queens Park RangersBookmakers: 39% to win today.Wasteful · −6 goals−3.2
- Swansea CityBookmakers: 33% to win today.+5.4
Last 5 matches
Swansea CityL
W
W
W
W
Queens Park RangersL
W
D
D
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Queens Park Rangers 13th of 24 · Swansea City 9th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Championship
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Championship gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Swansea City games less often than the Championship average (59%), in Queens Park Rangers games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Queens Park Rangers5 of 10
Swansea City5 of 10
BTTSleague 59%
Queens Park Rangers6 of 10
Swansea City4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 562 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City corners, cards and goal times
Championship
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Championship average
Queens Park Rangers
Swansea City
5.8
Corners won · league 5.2
3.9
3.2
Corners conceded · league 5.2
4.6
2.1
Cards · league 1.9
1.4
2.0
Opponents' cards · league 1.9
1.8
50%
Goals before half-time · league 47%
43%
8%
Goals after 75' · league 21%
14%
45%
Conceded before half-time · league 47%
71%
18%
Conceded after 75' · league 21%
14%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Queens Park Rangers2/5
Swansea City3/5
Both Teams to Score
Queens Park Rangers4/5
Swansea City2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Queens Park Rangers3/5
Swansea City2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Queens Park Rangers3/5
Swansea City4/5
First Half Result
Queens Park Rangers1/5
Swansea City1/5
Correct Score
Queens Park Rangers2/5
Swansea City0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction