1. Stoke City vs Preston North End

Stoke City vs Preston North End Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)

Riding their luck

Stoke City are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+9points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games. Preston North End are the other way round, behind their chances: about −6 points.

Stoke City vs Preston North End score prediction

Championship

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Stoke City expected to create clearly more

2.7 goals in total, in line with the Championship average of 2.7.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
The match Stoke City vs Preston North End will be played on Saturday, October 31 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 13 of the Championship, played in England. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Stoke City vs Preston North End, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.

Stoke City vs Preston North End — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Stoke City vs Preston North End. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Stoke CityStoke City–
Preston North EndPreston North End–

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

147%
X25%
229%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Stoke City22%78%54%46%
Preston North End35%65%69%31%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Stoke City79%21%92%8%
Preston North End89%11%97%3%

1st Half

133%
X46%
221%

1st Score

155%
X6%
238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

X-1

18%

X-X

16%

2-2

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.5%

1-0

10.1%

2-1

9.6%

1-2

7.4%

2-0

7.3%

0-1

7.2%

0-0

6.3%

2-2

5.8%

3-1

5.0%

0-2

4.0%

3-0

4.0%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Stoke City vs Preston North End: the stats that stand out

Championship

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Stoke City: always on the scoresheet and fast starters · Preston North End: leaky

Always on the scoresheet
Stoke City0/10

Stoke City scored in all of their last 10 (league 24% fail to score).

Leaky
Preston North End0/10

Preston North End kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 24%).

Fast starters
Stoke City7/10

Stoke City scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 47%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Stoke City vs Preston North End: attack vs defence

Championship

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Championship teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Stoke CityStoke City: weak attack, weak defence (1.23 xG, 1.83 xGA a game)
  • Preston North EndPreston North End: weak attack, weak defence (1.08 xG, 1.57 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Stoke City vs Preston North End form and luck check

Championship

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Championship games

Stoke City riding their luck, Preston North End unlucky

  • Stoke City
    Stoke CityClinical · +5 goals
    +8.8
  • Preston North End
    Preston North End
    −5.7

Last 5 matches

Stoke CityStoke City
W
L
W
W
W
6th in table
Preston North EndPreston North End
L
L
L
D
L
24th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Stoke City 20th of 24 · Preston North End 24th of 24

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Stoke City vs Preston North End: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Championship

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Championship gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Stoke City and Preston North End games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Championship average (53%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 53%
Stoke City7 of 10
Preston North End7 of 10
BTTSleague 58%
Stoke City7 of 10
Preston North End6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 580 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Stoke City vs Preston North End corners, cards and goal times

Championship

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Both sides score early

Stoke City

Preston North End

4.4

Corners won · league 5.2

4.9

5.1

Corners conceded · league 5.2

5.7

2.3

Cards · league 1.9

2.3

2.0

Opponents' cards · league 1.9

1.3

59%

Goals before half-time · league 47%

75%

18%

Goals after 75' · league 21%

13%

21%

Conceded before half-time · league 47%

32%

43%

Conceded after 75' · league 21%

36%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Stoke CityStoke City
2/5
Preston North EndPreston North End
4/5

Both Teams to Score

Stoke CityStoke City
3/5
Preston North EndPreston North End
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Stoke CityStoke City
4/5
Preston North EndPreston North End
1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Stoke CityStoke City
4/5
Preston North EndPreston North End
2/5

First Half Result

Stoke CityStoke City
3/5
Preston North EndPreston North End
2/5

Correct Score

Stoke CityStoke City
0/5
Preston North EndPreston North End
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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