Hard to break
2/10Blackburn Rovers conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 47%).
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Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)
Riding their luck
Stoke City are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+9points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Stoke City 32% to winBlackburn Rovers 41%
Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City score prediction
Championship
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.5 goals in total, a little under the Championship average of 2.7.
goals expected
Blackburn Rovers1.4
Stoke City1.1Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Championship
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Blackburn Rovers to win
Our model 41%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 3,607 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 6,641 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Blackburn Rovers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Blackburn Rovers 0–1 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 3,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Stoke City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Stoke City 0–1 goals
Our model 66%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 3,297 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Blackburn Rovers–
Stoke City–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Blackburn Rovers–Stoke City–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
141%
X26%
233%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 60% | 40% |
| 32% | 68% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
130%
X44%
226%
1st Score
150%
X7%
243%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
22%
X-X
17%
2-2
17%
X-1
14%
X-2
13%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.2%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City: the stats that stand out
Championship
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Blackburn Rovers: hard to break and always on the scoresheet · Stoke City: brick wall
2/10Brick wall
4/10Stoke City kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 24%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10Blackburn Rovers failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 24%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City: attack vs defence
Championship
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Championship teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Blackburn Rovers: weak attack, weak defence (1.19 xG, 1.66 xGA a game)
- Stoke City: weak attack, weak defence (1.22 xG, 1.67 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City form and luck check
Championship
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Championship gamesStoke City are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Blackburn RoversBookmakers: 41% to win today.Clinical · +3 goals+3.3
- Stoke CityBookmakers: 32% to win today.Clinical · +4 goals+8.7
Last 5 matches
Stoke CityD
W
L
W
W
Blackburn RoversW
L
W
W
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Blackburn Rovers 17th of 24 · Stoke City 19th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Championship
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Championship gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBlackburn Rovers and Stoke City games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Championship average (54%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Blackburn Rovers7 of 10
Stoke City6 of 10
BTTSleague 59%
Blackburn Rovers7 of 10
Stoke City6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 558 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City corners, cards and goal times
Championship
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.2
- Cards: league 1.9
- Goals before half-time: league 47%
- Goals after 75': league 21%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Blackburn Rovers2/5
Stoke City2/5
Both Teams to Score
Blackburn Rovers3/5
Stoke City3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Blackburn Rovers3/5
Stoke City5/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Blackburn Rovers3/5
Stoke City4/5
First Half Result
Blackburn Rovers1/5
Stoke City4/5
Correct Score
Blackburn Rovers0/5
Stoke City0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction