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Wrexham vs Middlesbrough

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)

Always on the scoresheet

Middlesbrough scored in all of their last 10 (league 24% fail to score).

0/10Failed to score · Middlesbrough

Bookmakers: Middlesbrough 44% to winWrexham 30%

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough score prediction

Championship

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

2.9 goals in total, a little over the Championship average of 2.7.

goals expected

Wrexham1.3

Middlesbrough1.7

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Middlesbrough to win

Our model 48%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,508 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Championship - England

Wrexham–

Middlesbrough–

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Championship - England

Wrexham–

Middlesbrough–

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

127%

X25%

248%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	23%	77%	45%	55%	57%	43%	81%	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	23%	77%	45%	55%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	57%	43%	81%	19%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	36%	64%	69%	31%	89%	11%	97%	3%
	22%	78%	52%	48%	77%	23%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	36%	64%	69%	31%
	22%	78%	52%	48%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	89%	11%	97%	3%
	77%	23%	91%	9%

1st Half

123%

X40%

237%

1st Score

138%

X6%

256%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

30%

X-X

15%

X-2

15%

1-1

13%

X-1

10%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.4%

1-2

9.6%

0-1

9.5%

0-2

7.4%

1-0

7.0%

2-1

6.8%

0-0

6.3%

2-2

5.9%

1-3

5.1%

0-3

4.1%

2-0

3.9%

2-3

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough: the stats that stand out

Championship

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Middlesbrough: always on the scoresheet and fast starters · Wrexham: flop as favourites

Always on the scoresheet

0/10

Middlesbrough scored in all of their last 10 (league 24% fail to score).

Flop as favourites

1/6

Wrexham won only 1 of 6 as favourites (league 47%).

Fast starters

7/10

Middlesbrough scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 47%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough: attack vs defence

Championship

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Championship teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

Wrexham: weak attack, good defence (1.09 xG, 1.27 xGA a game)
Middlesbrough: good attack, good defence (2.06 xG, 1.16 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough form and luck check

Championship

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Championship games

Both results in line with their chances

WrexhamBookmakers: 30% to win today.
−0.8
MiddlesbroughBookmakers: 44% to win today.
+1.7

Last 5 matches

Middlesbrough

1st in table

Wrexham

17th in table

Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Wrexham 14th of 24 · Middlesbrough 2nd of 24

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Championship

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Championship gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Wrexham and Middlesbrough games more often than the Championship average (59%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%

Wrexham6 of 10

Middlesbrough7 of 10

BTTSleague 59%

Wrexham6 of 10

Middlesbrough8 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 558 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough corners, cards and goal times

Championship

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro

Corners won: league 5.2
Cards: league 1.9
Goals before half-time: league 47%
Goals after 75': league 21%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Middlesbrough

3/5

Wrexham

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Middlesbrough

3/5

Wrexham

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Middlesbrough

3/5

Wrexham

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Middlesbrough

1/5

Wrexham

4/5

First Half Result

Middlesbrough

1/5

Wrexham

1/5

Correct Score

Middlesbrough

0/5

Wrexham

1/5

correct predictionwrong prediction