Hard to break
2/10Stoke City conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 47%).
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Portsmouth vs Stoke City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 15)
Riding their luck
Stoke City are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+9points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Portsmouth vs Stoke City score prediction
Championship
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.5 goals in total, a little under the Championship average of 2.7.
goals expected
Portsmouth1.4Stoke City1.1Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match Portsmouth vs Stoke City will be played on Saturday, November 7 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 15 of the Championship, played in England. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Portsmouth vs Stoke City, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Portsmouth vs Stoke City — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Portsmouth vs Stoke City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Portsmouth–
Stoke City–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Portsmouth–Stoke City–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
142%
X25%
233%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 60% | 40% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 58% | 42% |
| 32% | 68% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
134%
X43%
223%
1st Score
152%
X6%
242%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
X-1
16%
X-X
16%
2-2
14%
X-2
11%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.0%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Portsmouth vs Stoke City: the stats that stand out
Championship
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Stoke City: hard to break, brick wall and always on the scoresheet
2/10Brick wall
4/10Stoke City kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 24%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10Stoke City failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 24%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Portsmouth vs Stoke City: attack vs defence
Championship
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Championship teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Portsmouth: weak attack, good defence (1.40 xG, 1.03 xGA a game)
- Stoke City: weak attack, weak defence (1.22 xG, 1.67 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Portsmouth vs Stoke City form and luck check
Championship
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Championship gamesStoke City are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Portsmouth−0.5
- Stoke CityClinical · +4 goals+8.7
Last 5 matches
Stoke CityD
W
L
W
W
PortsmouthW
D
W
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Portsmouth 13th of 24 · Stoke City 19th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Portsmouth vs Stoke City: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Championship
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Championship gamesBTTS = both teams scoredPortsmouth games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Championship average (54%), Stoke City games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Portsmouth4 of 10
Stoke City6 of 10
BTTSleague 59%
Portsmouth5 of 10
Stoke City6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 558 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Portsmouth vs Stoke City corners, cards and goal times
Championship
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.2
- Cards: league 1.9
- Goals before half-time: league 47%
- Goals after 75': league 21%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Portsmouth1/5
Stoke City2/5
Both Teams to Score
Portsmouth4/5
Stoke City3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Portsmouth2/5
Stoke City5/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Portsmouth4/5
Stoke City4/5
First Half Result
Portsmouth2/5
Stoke City4/5
Correct Score
Portsmouth2/5
Stoke City0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction