1. Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 16)

Wasteful

Wolverhampton Wanderers are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring

−5goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10

77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Wolverhampton Wanderers 73% to winCharlton Athletic 10%

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic score prediction

Championship

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Wolverhampton Wanderers expected to score more than twice as many as Charlton Athletic

2.8 goals in total, a little over the Championship average of 2.7.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wolverhampton Wanderers to win

Our model 61%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 1,061 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,451 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.1% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 55%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,122 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 68%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 3,993 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wolverhampton Wanderers ahead at half-time

Our model 48%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 4,264 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wolverhampton Wanderers 2+ goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,487 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Charlton Athletic Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Charlton Athletic 0–1 goals

Our model 79%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 2,556 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers–
Charlton AthleticCharlton Athletic–

Winner

1 61%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

161%
X21%
218%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%45%55%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers16%84%44%56%
Charlton Athletic47%53%79%21%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers70%30%87%13%
Charlton Athletic94%6%99%1%

1st Half

148%
X38%
215%

1st Score

168%
X6%
226%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

43%

X-1

20%

X-X

12%

2-2

7%

X-2

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

11.3%

1-1

10.2%

2-1

10.0%

2-0

9.8%

3-0

6.9%

3-1

6.3%

0-0

5.8%

0-1

5.5%

1-2

5.0%

2-2

4.3%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic: the stats that stand out

Championship

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Charlton Athletic: shot-shy · Wolverhampton Wanderers: brick wall and banker as favourites

Shot-shy
Charlton Athletic5/10

Charlton Athletic failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 24%).

Brick wall
Wolverhampton Wanderers4/10

Wolverhampton Wanderers kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 24%).

Banker as favourites
Wolverhampton Wanderers6/9

Wolverhampton Wanderers won 6 of 9 as favourites (league 48%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic: attack vs defence

Championship

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Championship teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers: good attack, good defence (1.68 xG, 0.92 xGA a game)
  • Charlton AthleticCharlton Athletic: weak attack, weak defence (0.99 xG, 1.60 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic form and luck check

Championship

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Championship games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Wolverhampton Wanderers
    Wolverhampton WanderersBookmakers: 73% to win today.Wasteful · −5 goals
    −0.4
  • Charlton Athletic
    Charlton AthleticBookmakers: 10% to win today.
    −1.5

Last 5 matches

Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers
D
W
W
W
D
4th in table
Charlton AthleticCharlton Athletic
W
L
L
L
L
19th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Wolverhampton Wanderers 3rd of 24 · Charlton Athletic 23rd of 24

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Championship

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Championship gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Wolverhampton Wanderers and Charlton Athletic games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the Championship average (55%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Wolverhampton Wanderers4 of 10
Charlton Athletic5 of 10
BTTSleague 59%
Wolverhampton Wanderers5 of 10
Charlton Athletic5 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 558 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic corners, cards and goal times

Championship

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 5.2
  • Cards: league 1.9
  • Goals before half-time: league 47%
  • Goals after 75': league 22%

Corners and cards for every league: League stats →

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Charlton AthleticCharlton Athletic
3/5
Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers
3/5

Both Teams to Score

Charlton AthleticCharlton Athletic
2/5
Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Charlton AthleticCharlton Athletic
4/5
Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Charlton AthleticCharlton Athletic
4/5
Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers
5/5

First Half Result

Charlton AthleticCharlton Athletic
4/5
Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers
2/5

Correct Score

Charlton AthleticCharlton Athletic
0/5
Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers
2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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