Banker as favourites
5/6Stoke City won 5 of 6 as favourites (league 48%).
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Stoke City vs Millwall Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 17)
Riding their luck
Stoke City are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+10points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games. Millwall are the other way round, behind their chances: about −5 points.
Stoke City vs Millwall score prediction
Championship
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.7 goals in total, in line with the Championship average of 2.7.
goals expected
Stoke City1.4
Millwall1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match Stoke City vs Millwall will be played on Wednesday, November 25 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 17 of the Championship, played in England. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Stoke City vs Millwall, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Stoke City vs Millwall — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Stoke City vs Millwall. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Stoke City–
Millwall–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Stoke City–Millwall–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
150%
X24%
226%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 50% | 50% |
| 36% | 64% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 24% | 90% | 10% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
137%
X41%
222%
1st Score
157%
X6%
237%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-1
17%
X-X
15%
2-2
14%
X-2
9%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Stoke City vs Millwall: the stats that stand out
Championship
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Stoke City: banker as favourites, hard to break and always on the scoresheet
5/6Hard to break
3/10Stoke City conceded first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10Stoke City failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 24%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Stoke City vs Millwall: attack vs defence
Championship
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Championship teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Stoke City: weak attack, good defence (1.20 xG, 1.34 xGA a game)
- Millwall: good attack, good defence (1.51 xG, 1.44 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Stoke City vs Millwall form and luck check
Championship
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Championship gamesStoke City riding their luck, Millwall unlucky
- Stoke CityClinical · +4 goals+9.7
- Millwall−4.8
Last 5 matches
Stoke CityW
W
W
D
W
MillwallL
L
W
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Stoke City 15th of 24 · Millwall 9th of 24
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Stoke City vs Millwall: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Championship
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Championship gamesBTTS = both teams scoredStoke City and Millwall games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Championship average (55%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Stoke City6 of 10
Millwall8 of 10
BTTSleague 59%
Stoke City7 of 10
Millwall6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 558 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Stoke City vs Millwall corners, cards and goal times
Championship
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.2
- Cards: league 1.9
- Goals before half-time: league 47%
- Goals after 75': league 22%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Stoke City1/5
Millwall3/5
Both Teams to Score
Stoke City2/5
Millwall4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Stoke City3/5
Millwall3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Stoke City5/5
Millwall3/5
First Half Result
Stoke City2/5
Millwall2/5
Correct Score
Stoke City0/5
Millwall0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction