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Millwall vs Hull City 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2024/2025 (Round 27)

Fair result
MillwallMillwall

0–1

Hull CityHull City
0.8Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Millwall would usually take 1.4 points and Hull City 1.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Millwall.

Millwall −1.4 pts vs chancesHull City +1.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Millwall vs Hull City stats: how the match was played

Championship

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Hull City had more than twice the shots on target

Millwall

Hull City

1

Shots on target

2

0

Big chances

1

1

Corners

3

1

Yellow cards

1

52%

Possession

48%

The match between Millwall and Hull City ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Millwall win at 43% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Portsmouth – Millwall prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Millwall vs Hull City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Millwall to win

Wrong
Our model 44%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,144 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Millwall Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Millwall 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,462 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Hull City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hull City 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,349 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Millwall vs Hull City 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Millwall vs Hull City. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Championship - England
MillwallMillwall0
Hull CityHull City1

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

143%
X28%
228%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%52%48%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Millwall25%75%58%42%
Hull City37%63%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Millwall82%18%94%6%
Hull City89%11%97%3%

1st Half

131%
X48%
221%

1st Score

150%
X8%
242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

X-X

21%

X-1

16%

2-2

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-1

13.0%

1-0

10.9%

2-1

8.8%

0-0

8.3%

0-1

8.1%

2-0

7.8%

1-2

6.6%

2-2

5.5%

0-2

4.2%

3-1

3.9%

3-0

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Portsmouth – Millwall prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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