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Ipswich Town vs Preston North End

Ipswich Town vs Preston North End 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2025/2026 (Round 30)

Robbed

Ipswich Town drew despite more chances

Ipswich Town

1–1

Preston North End

2.7Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Ipswich Town would usually take 2.3 points and Preston North End 0.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Ipswich Town.

Ipswich Town −1.3 pts vs chancesPreston North End +0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Ipswich Town vs Preston North End stats: how the match was played

Championship

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Ipswich Town

Preston North End

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

67%

Possession

33%

The match between Ipswich Town and Preston North End ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Ipswich Town win at 64% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Preston North End – West Bromwich Albion prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Ipswich Town vs Preston North End — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ipswich Town to win

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 1,055 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.8% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 70%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ipswich Town ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 48%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Ipswich Town Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ipswich Town 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Preston North End Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Preston North End 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 82%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 1,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.9% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Ipswich Town vs Preston North End 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ipswich Town vs Preston North End. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Championship - England

Ipswich Town1

Preston North End1

Winner

1 64%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

· FT

Championship - England

Ipswich Town1

Preston North End1

Winner

1 64%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

164%

X21%

216%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	23%	77%	47%	53%	60%	40%	82%	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	23%	77%	47%	53%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	60%	40%	82%	18%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	15%	85%	43%	57%	70%	30%	88%	12%
	49%	51%	81%	19%	96%	4%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	15%	85%	43%	57%
	49%	51%	81%	19%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	70%	30%	88%	12%
	96%	4%	99%	1%

1st Half

148%

X36%

216%

1st Score

167%

X6%

227%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

44%

X-1

19%

X-X

11%

2-2

X-2

2-1

1-X

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

12.3%

2-0

11.1%

2-1

11.1%

1-1

10.3%

3-0

7.3%

3-1

6.2%

0-0

5.6%

0-1

5.2%

1-2

4.5%

2-2

4.2%

3-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Preston North End – West Bromwich Albion prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).