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Millwall vs Sheffield United 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2025/2026 (Round 30)

Fair result
MillwallMillwall

1–1

Sheffield UnitedSheffield United
1.5Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Millwall would usually take 1.3 points and Sheffield United 1.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Millwall.

Millwall −0.3 pts vs chancesSheffield United −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Millwall vs Sheffield United stats: how the match was played

Championship

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Millwall

Sheffield United

6

Shots on target

6

2

Big chances

3

6

Corners

8

2

Yellow cards

1

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Millwall and Sheffield United ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Millwall win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sheffield United – Wrexham prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

Millwall vs Sheffield United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Millwall to win

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,350 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 4,290 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Millwall Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Millwall 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,823 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Sheffield United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sheffield United 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,309 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Millwall vs Sheffield United 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Millwall vs Sheffield United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Championship - England
MillwallMillwall1
Sheffield UnitedSheffield United1

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

146%
X25%
230%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT55%45%79%21%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Millwall23%77%53%47%
Sheffield United34%66%66%34%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Millwall78%23%91%9%
Sheffield United87%13%96%4%

1st Half

131%
X45%
224%

1st Score

150%
X6%
244%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

X-X

17%

X-1

16%

2-2

16%

X-2

12%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

1-0

9.2%

2-1

9.0%

0-1

7.0%

1-2

7.0%

2-0

6.7%

0-0

5.9%

2-2

5.8%

3-1

4.9%

0-2

4.2%

3-0

3.6%

3-2

3.4%

1-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sheffield United – Wrexham prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

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