Home
Leagues
Championship
Blackburn Rovers vs Portsmouth

Blackburn Rovers vs Portsmouth 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2025/2026 (Round 36)

Fair result

Blackburn Rovers

1–1

Portsmouth

0.8Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Blackburn Rovers would usually take 1.1 points and Portsmouth 1.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Blackburn Rovers.

Blackburn Rovers −0.1 pts vs chancesPortsmouth −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Blackburn Rovers vs Portsmouth stats: how the match was played

Championship

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Blackburn Rovers

Portsmouth

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

42%

Possession

58%

The match between Blackburn Rovers and Portsmouth ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Blackburn Rovers win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: West Bromwich Albion – Blackburn Rovers prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).

Blackburn Rovers vs Portsmouth — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Blackburn Rovers to win

Wrong

Our model 41%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 3,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.8% of the time (bookmakers said 46.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,109 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 5,124 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 76%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 3,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 6,624 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Blackburn Rovers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Blackburn Rovers 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,424 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Portsmouth Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Portsmouth 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,236 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Blackburn Rovers vs Portsmouth 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Blackburn Rovers vs Portsmouth. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Championship - England

Blackburn Rovers1

Portsmouth1

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

· FT

Championship - England

Blackburn Rovers1

Portsmouth1

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

141%

X27%

232%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%	66%	34%	87%	13%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	29%	71%	54%	46%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	66%	34%	87%	13%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	28%	72%	63%	37%	86%	14%	96%	4%
	34%	66%	69%	31%	89%	11%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	63%	37%
	34%	66%	69%	31%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	86%	14%	96%	4%
	89%	11%	97%	3%

1st Half

131%

X44%

224%

1st Score

152%

X8%

239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

X-X

18%

X-1

16%

2-2

16%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

13.0%

1-0

11.2%

0-1

9.3%

2-1

8.8%

0-0

8.3%

1-2

7.5%

2-0

7.2%

0-2

5.2%

2-2

5.0%

3-1

3.7%

3-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: West Bromwich Albion – Blackburn Rovers prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).