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Bolton Wanderers vs West Ham United 2-3 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Fair result
Bolton WanderersBolton Wanderers

2–3

West Ham UnitedWest Ham United
1.9Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Bolton Wanderers would usually take 1.5 points and West Ham United 1.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: West Ham United.

Bolton Wanderers −1.5 pts vs chancesWest Ham United +1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Bolton Wanderers vs West Ham United stats: how the match was played

Championship

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Bolton Wanderers

West Ham United

6

Shots on target

7

1

Big chances

7

4

Corners

4

0

Yellow cards

3

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Bolton Wanderers and West Ham United ended 2-3. Our AI model predicted a Bolton Wanderers win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bolton Wanderers – Middlesbrough prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Bolton Wanderers vs West Ham United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bolton Wanderers to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: West Ham United to win.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 17%

Our track record

In 1,055 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,690 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 67%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,952 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.5% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: West Ham United ahead at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 2,224 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Bolton Wanderers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bolton Wanderers 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,462 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

West Ham United Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

West Ham United 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: West Ham United 2+ goals.

Our model 64%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 357 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Bolton Wanderers vs West Ham United 2-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bolton Wanderers vs West Ham United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Championship - England
Bolton WanderersBolton Wanderers2
West Ham UnitedWest Ham United3

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

141%
X26%
233%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%45%55%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Bolton Wanderers25%75%57%43%
West Ham United31%69%64%36%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Bolton Wanderers81%19%93%7%
West Ham United85%15%95%5%

1st Half

135%
X41%
224%

1st Score

150%
X6%
244%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-X

16%

X-1

15%

2-2

15%

X-2

10%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.8%

2-1

9.0%

1-0

8.4%

0-1

7.8%

1-2

7.7%

2-2

6.2%

0-0

6.2%

2-0

6.1%

0-2

4.8%

3-1

4.4%

1-3

3.4%

3-0

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bolton Wanderers – Middlesbrough prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

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