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Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City

Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result

Charlton Athletic

1–1

Bristol City

1.3Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Charlton Athletic would usually take 1.1 points and Bristol City 1.7; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Bristol City.

Charlton Athletic −0.1 pts vs chancesBristol City −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City stats: how the match was played

Championship

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Charlton Athletic

Bristol City

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Charlton Athletic and Bristol City ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Charlton Athletic win at 36% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Charlton Athletic – Norwich City prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Charlton Athletic to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Bristol City to win.

Our model 36%Bookmakers 29%

Our track record

In 1,525 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 50%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 77%Bookmakers 76%

Our track record

In 3,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 47%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Charlton Athletic Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Charlton Athletic 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,671 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Bristol City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bristol City 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,271 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Championship - England

Charlton Athletic1

Bristol City1

Winner

12 71%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

· FT

Championship - England

Charlton Athletic1

Bristol City1

Winner

12 71%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

136%

X29%

235%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	31%	69%	56%	44%	67%	33%	88%	12%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	31%	69%	56%	44%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	67%	33%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	32%	68%	67%	33%	88%	12%	96%	4%
	32%	68%	67%	33%	88%	12%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	32%	68%	67%	33%
	32%	68%	67%	33%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	88%	12%	96%	4%
	88%	12%	96%	4%

1st Half

126%

X47%

227%

1st Score

144%

X10%

246%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

19%

2-2

19%

1-1

18%

X-2

15%

X-1

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

13.3%

0-1

10.6%

1-0

10.5%

0-0

9.5%

2-1

7.9%

1-2

7.7%

2-0

6.2%

0-2

6.2%

2-2

5.0%

1-3

3.2%

3-1

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City — Recent Form

Bristol City have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table. Charlton Athletic have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Bristol City

Charlton Athletic

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Charlton Athletic

2/5

Bristol City

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Charlton Athletic

2/5

Bristol City

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Charlton Athletic

4/5

Bristol City

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Charlton Athletic

3/5

Bristol City

5/5

First Half Result

Charlton Athletic

4/5

Bristol City

2/5

Correct Score

Charlton Athletic

1/5

Bristol City

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Charlton Athletic – Norwich City prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).