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Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton Wanderers 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

Championship - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Fair result
Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers

1–3

Bolton WanderersBolton Wanderers
2.0Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Wolverhampton Wanderers would usually take 1.8 points and Bolton Wanderers 1.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Wolverhampton Wanderers −1.8 pts vs chancesBolton Wanderers +2.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton Wanderers stats: how the match was played

Championship

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Bolton Wanderers had more than twice the shots on target

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Bolton Wanderers

3

Shots on target

6

5

Big chances

3

9

Corners

3

3

Yellow cards

2

61%

Possession

40%

The match between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Bolton Wanderers ended 1-3. Our AI model predicted a Wolverhampton Wanderers win at 43% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bolton Wanderers – Bristol City prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton Wanderers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Championship

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wolverhampton Wanderers to win

Wrong
Our model 43%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 3,638 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,757 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,217 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 70%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 4,004 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Wolverhampton Wanderers ahead at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 2,257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wolverhampton Wanderers 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2+ goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,033 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.

Bolton Wanderers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bolton Wanderers 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 66%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 3,320 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton Wanderers 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton Wanderers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Championship - England
Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers1
Bolton WanderersBolton Wanderers3

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

143%
X25%
232%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%48%52%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT60%40%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers25%75%58%42%
Bolton Wanderers33%67%66%34%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers82%18%93%7%
Bolton Wanderers87%13%96%4%

1st Half

136%
X41%
223%

1st Score

155%
X7%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

2-2

16%

X-1

15%

X-X

15%

X-2

11%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.1%

1-0

9.5%

2-1

9.1%

0-1

7.8%

1-2

7.6%

2-0

6.7%

0-0

6.6%

2-2

5.5%

0-2

5.0%

3-1

4.5%

3-0

3.4%

1-3

3.2%

3-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton Wanderers — Recent Form

Wolverhampton Wanderers have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Bolton Wanderers have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers
W
D
W
L
L
Bolton WanderersBolton Wanderers
L
D
W
L
W

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Bolton WanderersBolton Wanderers
1/5
Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers
2/5

Both Teams to Score

Bolton WanderersBolton Wanderers
4/5
Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Bolton WanderersBolton Wanderers
4/5
Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers
1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Bolton WanderersBolton Wanderers
2/5
Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers
4/5

First Half Result

Bolton WanderersBolton Wanderers
0/5
Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers
2/5

Correct Score

Bolton WanderersBolton Wanderers
0/5
Wolverhampton WanderersWolverhampton Wanderers
1/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bolton Wanderers – Bristol City prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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