Brick wall
5/10Slovan Liberec kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 30%).
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Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Chance Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Wasteful
Baník Ostrava are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
−7goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Baník Ostrava 18% to winSlovan Liberec 58%
Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava score prediction
Chance Liga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Slovan Liberec expected to create clearly more
2.5 goals in total, a little under the Chance Liga average of 2.7.
goals expected
Slovan Liberec1.6
Baník Ostrava0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Chance Liga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Slovan Liberec to win
Our model 44%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 3,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 56%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 5,690 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 5,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 71%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 2,224 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Slovan Liberec Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Slovan Liberec 0–1 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 1,013 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.0% than to our 55–60%.
Baník Ostrava Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Baník Ostrava 0–1 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 77%
Our track record
In 3,268 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Slovan Liberec–
Baník Ostrava–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Slovan Liberec–Baník Ostrava–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
144%
X25%
232%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 48% | 52% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 58% | 42% |
| 33% | 67% | 67% | 33% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
131%
X43%
226%
1st Score
151%
X7%
242%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
2-2
17%
X-X
16%
X-1
15%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava: the stats that stand out
Chance Liga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Slovan Liberec: brick wall · Baník Ostrava: shot-shy and slow starters
5/10Shot-shy
5/10Baník Ostrava failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 30%).
Slow starters
3/10Baník Ostrava scored first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava: attack vs defence
Chance Liga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Chance Liga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Slovan Liberec: good attack, good defence (1.57 xG, 1.00 xGA a game)
- Baník Ostrava: weak attack, weak defence (1.34 xG, 1.83 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava form and luck check
Chance Liga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Chance Liga gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Slovan LiberecBookmakers: 58% to win today.Wasteful · −6 goals−2.1
- Baník OstravaBookmakers: 18% to win today.Wasteful · −7 goals−2.4
Last 5 matches
Slovan LiberecL
L
D
W
W
Baník OstravaD
L
D
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Slovan Liberec 4th of 16 · Baník Ostrava 13th of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Chance Liga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Chance Liga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredSlovan Liberec games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Chance Liga average (53%), Baník Ostrava games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 53%
Slovan Liberec2 of 10
Baník Ostrava6 of 10
BTTSleague 47%
Slovan Liberec2 of 10
Baník Ostrava3 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 268 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava corners, cards and goal times
Chance Liga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameBaník Ostrava score late
Slovan Liberec
Baník Ostrava
6.6
Corners won · league 4.9
5.1
3.4
Corners conceded · league 4.9
4.6
2.4
Cards · league 2.0
2.0
2.7
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
2.0
20%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
50%
20%
Goals after 75' · league 21%
33%
50%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
50%
17%
Conceded after 75' · league 21%
11%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Slovan Liberec1/5
Baník Ostrava1/5
Both Teams to Score
Slovan Liberec2/5
Baník Ostrava2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Slovan Liberec2/5
Baník Ostrava1/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Slovan Liberec5/5
Baník Ostrava4/5
First Half Result
Slovan Liberec1/5
Baník Ostrava0/5
Correct Score
Slovan Liberec0/5
Baník Ostrava0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction