Hard to break
1/10Slavia Praha conceded first in only 1 of their last 10 (league 46%).
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Slavia Praha vs Mladá Boleslav Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Chance Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Riding their luck
Mladá Boleslav are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Mladá Boleslav 9% to winSlavia Praha 76%
Slavia Praha vs Mladá Boleslav score prediction
Chance Liga
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.2 goals expected
3.2 goals in total: more goals than a typical Chance Liga game (average 2.7).
goals expected
Slavia Praha2.4
Mladá Boleslav0.8Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Slavia Praha vs Mladá Boleslav: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Slavia Praha vs Mladá Boleslav — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Chance Liga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Slavia Praha to win
Our model 61%Bookmakers 76%
Our track record
In 1,057 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.9% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 61%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 2,448 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 64%Bookmakers 71%
Our track record
In 3,077 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 933 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Slavia Praha ahead at half-time
Our model 48%Bookmakers 59%
Our track record
In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Slavia Praha Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Slavia Praha 2+ goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 77%
Our track record
In 3,452 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Mladá Boleslav Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Mladá Boleslav 0–1 goals
Our model 73%Bookmakers 79%
Our track record
In 3,349 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Slavia Praha vs Mladá Boleslav — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Slavia Praha vs Mladá Boleslav. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Slavia Praha–
Mladá Boleslav–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Slavia Praha–Mladá Boleslav–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Full Time
161%
X20%
219%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 36% | 64% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 48% | 52% | 73% | 27% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13% | 87% | 39% | 61% |
| 42% | 58% | 73% | 27% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65% | 35% | 84% | 16% |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
148%
X33%
219%
1st Score
164%
X4%
232%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
41%
X-1
16%
X-X
11%
2-2
11%
X-2
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-1
10.2%
1-1
9.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
3-0
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
3-2
4.8%
0-1
4.0%
0-0
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Slavia Praha vs Mladá Boleslav: the stats that stand out
Chance Liga
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Slavia Praha: hard to break, brick wall and always on the scoresheet
1/10Brick wall
6/10Slavia Praha kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 30%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10Slavia Praha failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 30%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Slavia Praha vs Mladá Boleslav: attack vs defence
Chance Liga
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Chance Liga teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Slavia Praha: good attack, good defence (2.06 xG, 0.94 xGA a game)
- Mladá Boleslav: weak attack, weak defence (1.32 xG, 1.78 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Slavia Praha vs Mladá Boleslav form and luck check
Chance Liga
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Chance Liga gamesMladá Boleslav are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Slavia PrahaBookmakers: 76% to win today.+0.6
- Mladá BoleslavBookmakers: 9% to win today.+6.2
Last 5 matches
Slavia PrahaD
W
W
W
W
Mladá BoleslavW
L
L
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Slavia Praha 1st of 16 · Mladá Boleslav 9th of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Slavia Praha vs Mladá Boleslav: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Chance Liga
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Chance Liga gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Slavia Praha and Mladá Boleslav games less often than the Chance Liga average (47%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 53%
Slavia Praha6 of 10
Mladá Boleslav5 of 10
BTTSleague 47%
Slavia Praha4 of 10
Mladá Boleslav3 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 268 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Slavia Praha vs Mladá Boleslav corners, cards and goal times
Chance Liga
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameMladá Boleslav score early, Slavia Praha late
Slavia Praha
Mladá Boleslav
6.3
Corners won · league 4.9
5.3
4.2
Corners conceded · league 4.9
5.8
1.8
Cards · league 2.0
1.5
2.4
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
2.8
43%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
57%
33%
Goals after 75' · league 21%
14%
20%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
55%
20%
Conceded after 75' · league 21%
27%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Slavia Praha4/5
Mladá Boleslav3/5
Both Teams to Score
Slavia Praha2/5
Mladá Boleslav0/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Slavia Praha2/5
Mladá Boleslav2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Slavia Praha4/5
Mladá Boleslav5/5
First Half Result
Slavia Praha3/5
Mladá Boleslav2/5
Correct Score
Slavia Praha1/5
Mladá Boleslav0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction