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Sparta Praha vs Slovan Liberec 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Chance Liga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 19)

Robbed

Sparta Praha drew despite more chances

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha

2–2

Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec
2.6Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Sparta Praha would usually take 2.5 points and Slovan Liberec 0.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Sparta Praha.

Sparta Praha −1.5 pts vs chancesSlovan Liberec +0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sparta Praha vs Slovan Liberec stats: how the match was played

Chance Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Sparta Praha had more than twice the shots on target

Sparta Praha

Slovan Liberec

8

Shots on target

3

3

Big chances

1

9

Corners

2

3

Yellow cards

4

0

Red cards

1

76%

Possession

24%

The match between Sparta Praha and Slovan Liberec ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Sparta Praha win at 51% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sparta Praha – Slovácko prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Sparta Praha vs Slovan Liberec — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Chance Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sparta Praha to win

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 2,487 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,350 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 67%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sparta Praha ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,003 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Sparta Praha Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sparta Praha 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,823 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Slovan Liberec Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Slovan Liberec 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 70%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,309 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sparta Praha vs Slovan Liberec 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sparta Praha vs Slovan Liberec. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Chance Liga - Czech Republic
Sparta PrahaSparta Praha2
Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec2

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

151%
X23%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sparta Praha19%81%50%50%
Slovan Liberec37%63%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sparta Praha76%24%91%9%
Slovan Liberec90%10%97%3%

1st Half

140%
X40%
221%

1st Score

158%
X5%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

31%

X-1

17%

X-X

14%

2-2

14%

X-2

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.9%

2-1

10.4%

1-0

9.9%

2-0

8.3%

1-2

6.8%

0-1

6.1%

2-2

5.8%

3-1

5.5%

0-0

5.3%

3-0

4.6%

0-2

3.6%

3-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sparta Praha – Slovácko prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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