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Karviná vs Viktoria Plzeň 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Chance Liga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 20)

Fair result
KarvináKarviná

0–2

Viktoria PlzeňViktoria Plzeň
1.6Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Karviná would usually take 1.7 points and Viktoria Plzeň 1.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Viktoria Plzeň.

Karviná −1.7 pts vs chancesViktoria Plzeň +2.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Karviná vs Viktoria Plzeň stats: how the match was played

Chance Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Karviná

Viktoria Plzeň

6

Shots on target

5

0

Big chances

2

4

Corners

3

1

Yellow cards

3

57%

Possession

43%

The match between Karviná and Viktoria Plzeň ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Viktoria Plzeň win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Jablonec – Viktoria Plzeň prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Karviná vs Viktoria Plzeň — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Chance Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viktoria Plzeň to win

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,440 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,438 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,055 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 911 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.3% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viktoria Plzeň ahead at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 37%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 1,196 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Karviná Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Karviná 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,423 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Viktoria Plzeň Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viktoria Plzeň 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 987 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.2% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Karviná vs Viktoria Plzeň 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Karviná vs Viktoria Plzeň. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Chance Liga - Czech Republic
KarvináKarviná0
Viktoria PlzeňViktoria Plzeň2

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 50%

Full Time

131%
X24%
246%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%37%63%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT50%50%75%25%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Karviná32%68%62%38%
Viktoria Plzeň22%79%49%51%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Karviná84%16%94%6%
Viktoria Plzeň74%26%89%11%

1st Half

127%
X36%
237%

1st Score

142%
X5%
253%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

1-1

19%

X-2

14%

X-X

13%

X-1

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.0%

1-2

9.2%

2-1

7.0%

0-1

6.8%

2-2

6.7%

0-2

6.3%

1-0

5.7%

1-3

5.2%

0-0

4.5%

2-0

4.1%

0-3

3.8%

2-3

3.5%

3-1

3.5%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Jablonec – Viktoria Plzeň prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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