1. Hradec Králové vs Viktoria Plzeň

Hradec Králové vs Viktoria Plzeň 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

Chance Liga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 25)

Fair result
Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové

0–3

Viktoria PlzeňViktoria Plzeň
1.1Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances Hradec Králové would usually take 0.8 points and Viktoria Plzeň 2.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Viktoria Plzeň.

Hradec Králové −0.8 pts vs chancesViktoria Plzeň +1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Hradec Králové vs Viktoria Plzeň stats: how the match was played

Chance Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Viktoria Plzeň had clearly more shots on target

Hradec Králové

Viktoria Plzeň

5

Shots on target

7

0

Big chances

2

8

Corners

6

0

Yellow cards

0

49%

Possession

51%

The match between Hradec Králové and Viktoria Plzeň ended 0-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Viktoria Plzeň win with 37% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hradec Králové – Jablonec prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Hradec Králové vs Viktoria Plzeň — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Chance Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viktoria Plzeň to win

Correct
Our model 37%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 2,098 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Hradec Králové Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hradec Králové 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,672 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Viktoria Plzeň Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viktoria Plzeň 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,268 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Hradec Králové vs Viktoria Plzeň 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hradec Králové vs Viktoria Plzeň. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové0
Viktoria PlzeňViktoria Plzeň3

Winner

12 72%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

136%
X28%
237%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%53%47%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Hradec Králové31%69%66%34%
Viktoria Plzeň31%69%65%35%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Hradec Králové87%13%96%4%
Viktoria Plzeň87%13%96%4%

1st Half

130%
X42%
228%

1st Score

146%
X9%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

20%

2-2

20%

X-X

17%

X-1

13%

X-2

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.9%

0-1

10.0%

1-0

9.7%

0-0

8.7%

1-2

8.4%

2-1

8.3%

0-2

6.1%

2-0

5.9%

2-2

5.2%

1-3

3.3%

3-1

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hradec Králové – Jablonec prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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