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Zlín vs Slavia Praha 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

Chance Liga - Season 2025/2026 (Round 26)

Fair result
ZlínZlín

1–3

Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha
1.0Chances (xG)2.1

On these chances Zlín would usually take 0.7 points and Slavia Praha 2.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Slavia Praha.

Zlín −0.7 pts vs chancesSlavia Praha +0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Zlín vs Slavia Praha stats: how the match was played

Chance Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Zlín

Slavia Praha

3

Shots on target

4

4

Big chances

4

3

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

0

34%

Possession

67%

The match between Zlín and Slavia Praha ended 1-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Slavia Praha win with 56% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Pardubice – Zlín prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).

Zlín vs Slavia Praha — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Chance Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Slavia Praha to win

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,740 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,051 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,775 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 69%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,821 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Slavia Praha ahead at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,135 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.

Zlín Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zlín 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 826 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.7%).

Slavia Praha Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Slavia Praha 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 958 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Zlín vs Slavia Praha 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Zlín vs Slavia Praha. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Chance Liga - Czech Republic
ZlínZlín1
Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha3

Winner

2 56%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

0-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

120%
X24%
256%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%48%52%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Zlín43%57%76%24%
Slavia Praha18%82%48%52%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Zlín93%7%98%2%
Slavia Praha74%26%89%11%

1st Half

122%
X41%
237%

1st Score

134%
X6%
260%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

33%

X-2

17%

X-X

15%

1-1

11%

X-1

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

0-1

11.5%

1-1

11.0%

1-2

9.8%

0-2

9.6%

0-0

6.4%

1-0

6.0%

1-3

5.8%

0-3

5.3%

2-1

5.1%

2-2

5.1%

2-3

3.4%

2-0

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Pardubice – Zlín prediction & betting tips (Oct 17, 2026).

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