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Pardubice vs Zlín 3-0 Score & Prediction Review
Chance Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Pardubice3–0
ZlínOn these chances Pardubice would usually take 2.0 points and Zlín 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Pardubice.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Pardubice vs Zlín stats: how the match was played
Chance Liga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Pardubice had more than twice the shots on target
Pardubice
Zlín
7
Shots on target
3
4
Big chances
0
3
Corners
2
0
Yellow cards
1
62%
Possession
38%
Pardubice vs Zlín — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Chance Liga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Pardubice to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,634 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.
Our track record
In 547 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,206 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Pardubice ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,248 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Pardubice 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Pardubice 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,030 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Zlín 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,316 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Pardubice vs Zlín 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Pardubice vs Zlín. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Pardubice3
Zlín0Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Pardubice3Zlín0Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 48% | 52% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 60% | 40% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 57% | 43% |
| 34% | 66% | 68% | 32% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 94% | 6% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
2-2
17%
X-X
16%
X-1
14%
X-2
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
7.0%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.6%
3-2
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Pardubice vs Zlín — Recent Form
Pardubice have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. Zlín have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.
Last 5 matches
PardubiceZlínOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
ZlínPardubiceBoth Teams to Score
ZlínPardubiceOver/Under 2.5 Goals
ZlínPardubiceOver/Under 3.5 Goals
ZlínPardubiceFirst Half Result
ZlínPardubiceCorrect Score
ZlínPardubice