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Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice

Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Chance Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Smash-and-grab

Mladá Boleslav won with fewer chances than Teplice

Mladá Boleslav

1–0

Teplice

0.9Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Mladá Boleslav would usually take 0.8 points and Teplice 2.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Mladá Boleslav.

Mladá Boleslav +2.2 pts vs chancesTeplice −2.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice stats: how the match was played

Chance Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Mladá Boleslav had clearly more shots on target

Mladá Boleslav

Teplice

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

55%

Possession

45%

The match between Mladá Boleslav and Teplice ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Mladá Boleslav win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Baník Ostrava – Teplice prediction & betting tips (Nov 21, 2026).

Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Chance Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mladá Boleslav to win

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 3,555 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.8% of the time (bookmakers said 50.7%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,785 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.9%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 4,026 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.6%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mladá Boleslav ahead at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 1,218 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Mladá Boleslav Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mladá Boleslav 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Mladá Boleslav 2+ goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 1,909 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 40.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.5% than to our 50–55%.

Teplice Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Teplice 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,331 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.5%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Chance Liga - Czech Republic

Mladá Boleslav1

Teplice0

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

· FT

Chance Liga - Czech Republic

Mladá Boleslav1

Teplice0

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

146%

X27%

227%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	43%	57%	57%	43%	80%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	43%	57%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	57%	43%	80%	20%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	21%	79%	52%	48%	77%	23%	91%	9%
	34%	66%	67%	33%	87%	13%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	52%	48%
	34%	66%	67%	33%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	77%	23%	91%	9%
	87%	13%	96%	4%

1st Half

139%

X38%

223%

1st Score

156%

X6%

238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

30%

X-1

15%

X-X

15%

2-2

15%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

12.3%

2-1

10.0%

1-0

8.8%

1-2

7.0%

2-0

6.8%

2-2

6.4%

0-0

6.0%

0-1

5.8%

3-1

4.7%

3-0

4.3%

0-2

3.7%

3-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Mladá Boleslav vs Teplice — Recent Form

Mladá Boleslav have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Teplice have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Mladá Boleslav

Teplice

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Mladá Boleslav

3/5

Teplice

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Mladá Boleslav

2/5

Teplice

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Mladá Boleslav

1/5

Teplice

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Mladá Boleslav

4/5

Teplice

3/5

First Half Result

Mladá Boleslav

3/5

Teplice

2/5

Correct Score

Mladá Boleslav

0/5

Teplice

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Baník Ostrava – Teplice prediction & betting tips (Nov 21, 2026).