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Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec

Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Chance Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Fair result

Sigma Olomouc

1–0

Slovan Liberec

1.1Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Sigma Olomouc would usually take 1.0 points and Slovan Liberec 1.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Sigma Olomouc.

Sigma Olomouc +2.0 pts vs chancesSlovan Liberec −1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec stats: how the match was played

Chance Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Slovan Liberec had more than twice the shots on target

Sigma Olomouc

Slovan Liberec

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

55%

Possession

45%

The match between Sigma Olomouc and Slovan Liberec ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Sigma Olomouc win with 38% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sigma Olomouc – Slavia Praha prediction & betting tips (Nov 21, 2026).

Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Chance Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sigma Olomouc to win

Correct

Our model 38%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,084 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 55%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,176 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 4,026 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 43%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,691 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Sigma Olomouc Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sigma Olomouc 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,464 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Slovan Liberec Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Slovan Liberec 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,657 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Chance Liga - Czech Republic

Sigma Olomouc1

Slovan Liberec0

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

· FT

Chance Liga - Czech Republic

Sigma Olomouc1

Slovan Liberec0

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

138%

X27%

235%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	24%	76%	47%	53%	59%	41%	82%	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	47%	53%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	59%	41%	82%	18%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	29%	71%	61%	39%	83%	17%	94%	6%
	31%	69%	63%	37%	85%	15%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	61%	39%
	31%	69%	63%	37%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	83%	17%	94%	6%
	85%	15%	95%	5%

1st Half

130%

X43%

227%

1st Score

149%

X8%

243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

2-2

19%

X-X

18%

X-1

13%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.1%

1-0

8.4%

2-1

8.3%

0-1

8.1%

1-2

7.6%

0-0

7.6%

2-0

5.9%

2-2

5.7%

0-2

5.4%

3-1

3.8%

1-3

3.5%

3-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec — Recent Form

Sigma Olomouc have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Slovan Liberec have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table.

Last 5 matches

Sigma Olomouc

Slovan Liberec

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Slovan Liberec

3/5

Sigma Olomouc

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Slovan Liberec

3/5

Sigma Olomouc

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Slovan Liberec

3/5

Sigma Olomouc

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Slovan Liberec

5/5

Sigma Olomouc

4/5

First Half Result

Slovan Liberec

2/5

Sigma Olomouc

1/5

Correct Score

Slovan Liberec

0/5

Sigma Olomouc

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sigma Olomouc – Slavia Praha prediction & betting tips (Nov 21, 2026).