1. Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno

Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Chance Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Fair result
SlováckoSlovácko

1–2

Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno
1.4Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances Slovácko would usually take 1.0 points and Zbrojovka Brno 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Zbrojovka Brno.

Slovácko −1.0 pts vs chancesZbrojovka Brno +1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno stats: how the match was played

Chance Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Slovácko

Zbrojovka Brno

4

Shots on target

5

1

Big chances

4

8

Corners

5

1

Yellow cards

0

67%

Possession

33%

The match between Slovácko and Zbrojovka Brno ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Zbrojovka Brno win with 43% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Chance Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zbrojovka Brno to win

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 3,645 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,529 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 2,880 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 4,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,717 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Slovácko Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Slovácko 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,667 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.4% of the time (bookmakers said 67.5%).

Zbrojovka Brno Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zbrojovka Brno 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,598 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
SlováckoSlovácko1
Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno2

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

131%
X26%
243%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Slovácko34%66%66%34%
Zbrojovka Brno25%75%57%43%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Slovácko87%13%96%4%
Zbrojovka Brno81%19%93%7%

1st Half

127%
X40%
233%

1st Score

139%
X7%
254%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

26%

1-1

18%

X-X

15%

X-2

15%

X-1

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.0%

0-1

9.4%

1-2

9.0%

2-1

7.3%

1-0

7.3%

0-2

6.8%

0-0

6.7%

2-2

5.8%

2-0

4.7%

1-3

4.2%

0-3

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno — Recent Form

Slovácko have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table. Zbrojovka Brno have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.

Last 5 matches

SlováckoSlovácko
W
L
L
L
W
Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno
L
L
D
W
L

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

SlováckoSlovácko
4/5
Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno
2/5

Both Teams to Score

SlováckoSlovácko
4/5
Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

SlováckoSlovácko
5/5
Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

SlováckoSlovácko
3/5
Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno
3/5

First Half Result

SlováckoSlovácko
2/5
Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno
1/5

Correct Score

SlováckoSlovácko
0/5
Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno
0/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction

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