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Jablonec vs Viktoria Plzeň

Jablonec vs Viktoria Plzeň 2-3 Score & Prediction Review

Chance Liga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Smash-and-grab

Viktoria Plzeň won with less than half the chances

Jablonec

2–3

Viktoria Plzeň

2.4Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Jablonec would usually take 2.3 points and Viktoria Plzeň 0.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Viktoria Plzeň.

Jablonec −2.3 pts vs chancesViktoria Plzeň +2.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Jablonec vs Viktoria Plzeň stats: how the match was played

Chance Liga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Jablonec had more than twice the shots on target

Jablonec

Viktoria Plzeň

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

63%

Possession

37%

The match between Jablonec and Viktoria Plzeň ended 2-3. Our AI model predicted a Jablonec win at 52% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hradec Králové – Jablonec prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Jablonec vs Viktoria Plzeň — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Chance Liga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jablonec to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Viktoria Plzeň to win.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 111 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.5% than to our 50–55%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 6,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,201 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 72%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 44%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Jablonec Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jablonec 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,824 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Viktoria Plzeň Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viktoria Plzeň 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 75%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,393 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Jablonec vs Viktoria Plzeň 2-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Jablonec vs Viktoria Plzeň. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Chance Liga - Czech Republic

Jablonec2

Viktoria Plzeň3

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

· FT

Chance Liga - Czech Republic

Jablonec2

Viktoria Plzeň3

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

152%

X25%

223%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	25%	75%	50%	50%	62%	38%	85%	15%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	50%	50%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	62%	38%	85%	15%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	20%	80%	52%	48%	78%	22%	92%	8%
	40%	60%	75%	25%	92%	8%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	20%	80%	52%	48%
	40%	60%	75%	25%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	78%	22%	92%	8%
	92%	8%	98%	2%

1st Half

135%

X43%

222%

1st Score

155%

X7%

238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-1

18%

X-X

16%

2-2

14%

X-2

2-X

1-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

12.2%

1-0

11.5%

2-1

10.6%

2-0

8.8%

0-1

7.0%

0-0

6.7%

1-2

6.2%

3-1

5.3%

2-2

4.9%

3-0

4.9%

0-2

3.4%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Jablonec vs Viktoria Plzeň — Recent Form

Jablonec have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Viktoria Plzeň have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Jablonec

Viktoria Plzeň

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Viktoria Plzeň

2/5

Jablonec

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Viktoria Plzeň

3/5

Jablonec

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Viktoria Plzeň

4/5

Jablonec

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Viktoria Plzeň

3/5

Jablonec

4/5

First Half Result

Viktoria Plzeň

3/5

Jablonec

2/5

Correct Score

Viktoria Plzeň

0/5

Jablonec

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Hradec Králové – Jablonec prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).