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  4. Platense vs Coquimbo Unido

Platense vs Coquimbo Unido 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Copa Libertadores - Season 2026 8th Finals (Knock Out)

Robbed

Platense drew despite more chances

PlatensePlatense

1–1

Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido
2.0Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Platense would usually take 2.2 points and Coquimbo Unido 0.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Platense.

Platense −1.2 pts vs chancesCoquimbo Unido +0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Platense vs Coquimbo Unido stats: how the match was played

Copa Libertadores

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Platense had more than twice the shots on target

Platense

Coquimbo Unido

8

Shots on target

1

3

Big chances

1

7

Corners

10

1

Yellow cards

2

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Platense and Coquimbo Unido ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Coquimbo Unido win at 37% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Platense vs Coquimbo Unido — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Copa Libertadores

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Coquimbo Unido to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Platense to win.

Our model 37%Bookmakers 22%

Our track record

In 1,528 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 80%Bookmakers 88%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Platense Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Platense 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Coquimbo Unido Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Coquimbo Unido 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Platense vs Coquimbo Unido 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Platense vs Coquimbo Unido. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Copa Libertadores - South America
PlatensePlatense1
Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido1

Winner

12 71%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

134%
X29%
237%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT34%66%60%40%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT70%30%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Platense36%64%70%30%
Coquimbo Unido33%67%68%32%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Platense89%11%97%3%
Coquimbo Unido89%11%97%3%

1st Half

123%
X51%
226%

1st Score

141%
X11%
248%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

23%

X-X

20%

X-2

16%

1-1

15%

X-1

12%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

2%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

1-1

13.0%

0-1

12.1%

1-0

11.0%

0-0

10.9%

1-2

7.5%

0-2

7.1%

2-1

6.9%

2-0

6.3%

2-2

4.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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