Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Copa Libertadores - Season 2026 Semi-finals (Knock Out)
Fluminense vs Palmeiras — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Copa Libertadores
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Fluminense to win
Our track record
In 1,033 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 3,094 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,123 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,663 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,641 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Fluminense 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,452 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Palmeiras 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,221 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Fluminense vs Palmeiras — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Fluminense vs Palmeiras. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Fluminense–
Palmeiras–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Fluminense–Palmeiras–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27% | 73% | 61% | 39% |
 | 35% | 65% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
X-1
17%
X-X
17%
2-2
16%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Fluminense vs Palmeiras — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FluminensePalmeirasBoth Teams to Score
FluminensePalmeirasOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FluminensePalmeirasOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FluminensePalmeirasFirst Half Result
FluminensePalmeirasCorrect Score
FluminensePalmeiras