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Almere City vs FC Volendam 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Eerste Divisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Almere City1–0
FC VolendamOn these chances Almere City would usually take 1.9 points and FC Volendam 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Almere City.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Almere City vs FC Volendam stats: how the match was played
Eerste Divisie
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Almere City had more than twice the shots on target
Almere City
FC Volendam
7
Shots on target
1
2
Big chances
2
6
Corners
4
0
Yellow cards
2
40%
Possession
60%
Almere City vs FC Volendam — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eerste Divisie
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Almere City to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,471 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.8% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 2,460 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 941 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).
Our model’s pick
Almere City ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 1,996 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Almere City 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,469 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
FC Volendam 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Almere City vs FC Volendam 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Almere City vs FC Volendam. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Almere City1
FC Volendam0Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Almere City1FC Volendam0Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 34% | 66% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 46% | 54% | 71% | 29% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 82% | 44% | 56% |
| 35% | 65% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69% | 31% | 85% | 15% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
33%
X-1
16%
2-2
14%
X-X
11%
X-2
9%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.2%
1-0
7.0%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.1%
3-2
4.6%
3-0
4.5%
0-0
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
2-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Almere City vs FC Volendam — Recent Form
FC Volendam have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Almere City have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table.
Last 5 matches
FC VolendamAlmere CityOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Almere CityFC VolendamBoth Teams to Score
Almere CityFC VolendamOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Almere CityFC VolendamOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Almere CityFC VolendamFirst Half Result
Almere CityFC VolendamCorrect Score
Almere CityFC Volendam