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FC Den Bosch vs TOP Oss 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
Eerste Divisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
FC Den Bosch won with fewer chances than TOP Oss
FC Den Bosch2–1
TOP OssOn these chances FC Den Bosch would usually take 0.8 points and TOP Oss 2.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Den Bosch.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →FC Den Bosch vs TOP Oss stats: how the match was played
Eerste Divisie
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
FC Den Bosch
TOP Oss
4
Shots on target
3
2
Big chances
5
2
Corners
9
2
Yellow cards
0
46%
Possession
54%
FC Den Bosch vs TOP Oss — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eerste Divisie
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
FC Den Bosch to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,055 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.8% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,689 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 941 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).
Our model’s pick
FC Den Bosch ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
FC Den Bosch 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
TOP Oss 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.8% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
FC Den Bosch vs TOP Oss 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Den Bosch vs TOP Oss. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
FC Den Bosch2
TOP Oss1Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
FC Den Bosch2TOP Oss1Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 35% | 65% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 48% | 52% | 72% | 28% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12% | 88% | 36% | 64% |
| 46% | 54% | 76% | 24% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61% | 39% | 81% | 19% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
40%
X-1
17%
X-X
12%
2-2
9%
X-2
7%
2-1
5%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
10.1%
1-1
8.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
3-0
7.3%
2-2
5.1%
1-2
5.0%
3-2
4.2%
0-0
3.8%
0-1
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
FC Den Bosch vs TOP Oss — Recent Form
FC Den Bosch have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. TOP Oss have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.
Last 5 matches
FC Den BoschTOP OssOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
TOP OssFC Den BoschBoth Teams to Score
TOP OssFC Den BoschOver/Under 2.5 Goals
TOP OssFC Den BoschOver/Under 3.5 Goals
TOP OssFC Den BoschFirst Half Result
TOP OssFC Den BoschCorrect Score
TOP OssFC Den Bosch