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  4. Jong FC Utrecht vs Roda JC Kerkrade

Jong FC Utrecht vs Roda JC Kerkrade 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Eerste Divisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Fair result
Jong FC UtrechtJong FC Utrecht

1–2

Roda JC KerkradeRoda JC Kerkrade
0.9Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Jong FC Utrecht would usually take 0.8 points and Roda JC Kerkrade 2.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Roda JC Kerkrade.

Jong FC Utrecht −0.8 pts vs chancesRoda JC Kerkrade +1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Jong FC Utrecht vs Roda JC Kerkrade stats: how the match was played

Eerste Divisie

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Roda JC Kerkrade had more than twice the shots on target

Jong FC Utrecht

Roda JC Kerkrade

2

Shots on target

5

1

Big chances

3

3

Corners

11

1

Yellow cards

1

43%

Possession

57%

The match between Jong FC Utrecht and Roda JC Kerkrade ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Roda JC Kerkrade win with 42% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Roda JC Kerkrade – Jong AZ prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

Jong FC Utrecht vs Roda JC Kerkrade — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eerste Divisie

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Roda JC Kerkrade to win

Correct
Our model 42%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,689 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,948 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 38%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 1,996 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Jong FC Utrecht Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jong FC Utrecht 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Roda JC Kerkrade Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Roda JC Kerkrade 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Roda JC Kerkrade 2+ goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 844 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Jong FC Utrecht vs Roda JC Kerkrade 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Jong FC Utrecht vs Roda JC Kerkrade. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Eerste Divisie - Netherlands
Jong FC UtrechtJong FC Utrecht1
Roda JC KerkradeRoda JC Kerkrade2

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

133%
X25%
242%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%43%57%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT55%45%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Jong FC Utrecht31%69%63%37%
Roda JC Kerkrade25%75%54%46%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Jong FC Utrecht85%16%95%5%
Roda JC Kerkrade79%21%92%8%

1st Half

126%
X38%
236%

1st Score

145%
X6%
250%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

1-1

17%

X-2

16%

X-X

12%

X-1

10%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.8%

1-2

9.1%

0-1

7.6%

2-1

7.4%

1-0

7.1%

2-2

6.5%

0-2

6.3%

0-0

5.8%

2-0

4.9%

1-3

4.3%

0-3

3.8%

3-1

3.6%

2-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Jong FC Utrecht vs Roda JC Kerkrade — Recent Form

Roda JC Kerkrade have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Jong FC Utrecht have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Roda JC KerkradeRoda JC Kerkrade
W
W
D
L
W
Jong FC UtrechtJong FC Utrecht
L
L
L
L
W

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Roda JC KerkradeRoda JC Kerkrade
2/5
Jong FC UtrechtJong FC Utrecht
4/5

Both Teams to Score

Roda JC KerkradeRoda JC Kerkrade
3/5
Jong FC UtrechtJong FC Utrecht
5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Roda JC KerkradeRoda JC Kerkrade
2/5
Jong FC UtrechtJong FC Utrecht
5/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Roda JC KerkradeRoda JC Kerkrade
4/5
Jong FC UtrechtJong FC Utrecht
2/5

First Half Result

Roda JC KerkradeRoda JC Kerkrade
2/5
Jong FC UtrechtJong FC Utrecht
1/5

Correct Score

Roda JC KerkradeRoda JC Kerkrade
0/5
Jong FC UtrechtJong FC Utrecht
1/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Roda JC Kerkrade – Jong AZ prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

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