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Almere City vs Roda JC Kerkrade

Almere City vs Roda JC Kerkrade 2-3 Score & Prediction Review

Eerste Divisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Fair result

Almere City

2–3

Roda JC Kerkrade

1.5Chances (xG)2.5

On these chances Almere City would usually take 0.9 points and Roda JC Kerkrade 2.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Almere City.

Almere City −0.9 pts vs chancesRoda JC Kerkrade +1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Almere City vs Roda JC Kerkrade stats: how the match was played

Eerste Divisie

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Roda JC Kerkrade had more than twice the shots on target

Almere City

Roda JC Kerkrade

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Almere City and Roda JC Kerkrade ended 2-3. Our AI model predicted a Almere City win at 52% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Roda JC Kerkrade – Jong AZ prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

Almere City vs Roda JC Kerkrade — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eerste Divisie

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Almere City to win

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 2,475 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,462 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,311 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 62%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,385 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Almere City ahead at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 1,214 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Almere City Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Almere City 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,803 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Roda JC Kerkrade Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Roda JC Kerkrade 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 68%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Almere City vs Roda JC Kerkrade 2-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Almere City vs Roda JC Kerkrade. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Eerste Divisie - Netherlands

Almere City2

Roda JC Kerkrade3

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

· FT

Eerste Divisie - Netherlands

Almere City2

Roda JC Kerkrade3

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

152%

X23%

226%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	19%	81%	40%	60%	52%	48%	77%	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	40%	60%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	52%	48%	77%	23%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	19%	81%	47%	53%	73%	27%	88%	12%
	36%	64%	68%	32%	88%	12%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	19%	81%	47%	53%
	36%	64%	68%	32%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	73%	27%	88%	12%
	88%	12%	96%	4%

1st Half

139%

X38%

223%

1st Score

160%

X4%

235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

34%

X-1

16%

2-2

14%

X-X

12%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

10.6%

2-1

9.7%

1-0

8.8%

2-0

7.2%

1-2

6.5%

2-2

6.0%

0-1

5.8%

3-1

5.8%

3-0

4.6%

0-0

4.3%

3-2

4.1%

0-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Almere City vs Roda JC Kerkrade — Recent Form

Roda JC Kerkrade have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Almere City have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table.

Last 5 matches

Roda JC Kerkrade

Almere City

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Almere City

3/5

Roda JC Kerkrade

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Almere City

3/5

Roda JC Kerkrade

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Almere City

4/5

Roda JC Kerkrade

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Almere City

3/5

Roda JC Kerkrade

4/5

First Half Result

Almere City

4/5

Roda JC Kerkrade

2/5

Correct Score

Almere City

0/5

Roda JC Kerkrade

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Roda JC Kerkrade – Jong AZ prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).