Hard to break
1/10Pogoń Szczecin conceded first in only 1 of their last 10 (league 46%).
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Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Riding their luck
Pogoń Szczecin are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+8points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games. Radomiak Radom are the other way round, behind their chances: about −6 points.
Bookmakers: Pogoń Szczecin 55% to winRadomiak Radom 21%
Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom score prediction
Ekstraklasa
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Pogoń Szczecin expected to create clearly more
2.9 goals in total, a little over the Ekstraklasa average of 2.7.
goals expected
Pogoń Szczecin1.9
Radomiak Radom1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ekstraklasa
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Pogoń Szczecin to win
Our model 51%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 2,470 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 5,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 3,955 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Pogoń Szczecin ahead at half-time
Our model 41%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 6,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Pogoń Szczecin Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Pogoń Szczecin 2+ goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 2,796 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Radomiak Radom Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Radomiak Radom 0–1 goals
Our model 70%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Pogoń Szczecin–
Radomiak Radom–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Pogoń Szczecin–Radomiak Radom–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
151%
X24%
225%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 48% | 52% |
| 37% | 63% | 70% | 30% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
141%
X38%
221%
1st Score
158%
X6%
236%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
34%
X-1
17%
X-X
14%
2-2
13%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
11.2%
1-1
11.0%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.7%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
5.1%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom: the stats that stand out
Ekstraklasa
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Pogoń Szczecin: hard to break and brick wall · Radomiak Radom: shot-shy
1/10Brick wall
5/10Pogoń Szczecin kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 25%).
Shot-shy
5/10Radomiak Radom failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 25%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom: attack vs defence
Ekstraklasa
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ekstraklasa teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Pogoń Szczecin: weak attack, good defence (1.43 xG, 1.60 xGA a game)
- Radomiak Radom: weak attack, weak defence (1.61 xG, 2.02 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom form and luck check
Ekstraklasa
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ekstraklasa gamesPogoń Szczecin riding their luck, Radomiak Radom unlucky
- Pogoń SzczecinBookmakers: 55% to win today.+8.4
- Radomiak RadomBookmakers: 21% to win today.Wasteful · −7 goals−5.8
Last 5 matches
Pogoń SzczecinW
W
W
W
D
Radomiak RadomL
L
L
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Pogoń Szczecin 5th of 18 · Radomiak Radom 17th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ekstraklasa
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ekstraklasa gamesBTTS = both teams scoredPogoń Szczecin games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Ekstraklasa average (54%), Radomiak Radom games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Pogoń Szczecin3 of 10
Radomiak Radom6 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Pogoń Szczecin4 of 10
Radomiak Radom5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 300 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom corners, cards and goal times
Ekstraklasa
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Ekstraklasa average
Pogoń Szczecin
Radomiak Radom
3.4
Corners won · league 4.8
6.0
4.5
Corners conceded · league 4.8
5.6
1.7
Cards · league 2.0
1.9
2.0
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
2.7
40%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
43%
27%
Goals after 75' · league 26%
14%
50%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
48%
33%
Conceded after 75' · league 26%
9%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Pogoń Szczecin1/5
Radomiak Radom3/5
Both Teams to Score
Pogoń Szczecin2/5
Radomiak Radom2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Pogoń Szczecin1/5
Radomiak Radom2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Pogoń Szczecin5/5
Radomiak Radom3/5
First Half Result
Pogoń Szczecin4/5
Radomiak Radom2/5
Correct Score
Pogoń Szczecin1/5
Radomiak Radom0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction