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Wisła Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Wisła Kraków2–1
Raków CzęstochowaOn these chances Wisła Kraków would usually take 1.2 points and Raków Częstochowa 1.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Wisła Kraków.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Wisła Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa stats: how the match was played
Ekstraklasa
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Wisła Kraków had more than twice the shots on target
Wisła Kraków
Raków Częstochowa
8
Shots on target
2
1
Big chances
2
1
Corners
4
0
Yellow cards
2
59%
Possession
41%
Wisła Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ekstraklasa
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Wisła Kraków to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,805 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,105 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Wisła Kraków ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,629 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
Wisła Kraków 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
Raków Częstochowa 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,366 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Wisła Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Wisła Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Wisła Kraków2
Raków Częstochowa1Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Wisła Kraków2Raków Częstochowa1Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14% | 86% | 40% | 60% |
| 41% | 59% | 73% | 27% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68% | 32% | 86% | 14% |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
38%
X-1
19%
X-X
12%
2-2
9%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
11.0%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.0%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
4.5%
0-0
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Wisła Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa — Recent Form
Wisła Kraków have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Raków Częstochowa have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Wisła KrakówRaków CzęstochowaOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Wisła KrakówRaków CzęstochowaBoth Teams to Score
Wisła KrakówRaków CzęstochowaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Wisła KrakówRaków CzęstochowaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Wisła KrakówRaków CzęstochowaFirst Half Result
Wisła KrakówRaków CzęstochowaCorrect Score
Wisła KrakówRaków Częstochowa