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Katowice vs Widzew Lodz 3-2 Score & Prediction Review
Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)
Katowice3–2
Widzew LodzOn these chances Katowice would usually take 1.4 points and Widzew Lodz 1.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Katowice.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Katowice vs Widzew Lodz stats: how the match was played
Ekstraklasa
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Katowice had clearly more shots on target
Katowice
Widzew Lodz
6
Shots on target
4
4
Big chances
2
3
Corners
5
2
Yellow cards
3
33%
Possession
67%
Katowice vs Widzew Lodz — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ekstraklasa
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Katowice to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,099 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.8% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,749 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,330 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,997 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,687 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
Katowice 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Katowice 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,025 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.8% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Widzew Lodz 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,677 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Katowice vs Widzew Lodz 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Katowice vs Widzew Lodz. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Katowice3
Widzew Lodz2Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Katowice3Widzew Lodz2Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 58% | 42% |
| 29% | 71% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
X-X
17%
2-2
17%
X-1
14%
X-2
11%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
0-1
7.4%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
2-0
5.6%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Katowice vs Widzew Lodz — Recent Form
Katowice have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Widzew Lodz have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.
Last 5 matches
KatowiceWidzew LodzOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Widzew LodzKatowiceBoth Teams to Score
Widzew LodzKatowiceOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Widzew LodzKatowiceOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Widzew LodzKatowiceFirst Half Result
Widzew LodzKatowiceCorrect Score
Widzew LodzKatowice