1. Śląsk Wrocław vs Piast Gliwice

Śląsk Wrocław vs Piast Gliwice Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 14)

Riding their luck

Piast Gliwice are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Piast Gliwice 36% to winŚląsk Wrocław 38%

Śląsk Wrocław vs Piast Gliwice score prediction

Ekstraklasa

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

3.0 goals in total, a little over the Ekstraklasa average of 2.8.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Śląsk Wrocław vs Piast Gliwice: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Śląsk Wrocław vs Piast Gliwice — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ekstraklasa

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Piast Gliwice to win

Our model 45%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 369 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.9% than to our 45–50%.

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Śląsk Wrocław vs Piast Gliwice — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Śląsk Wrocław vs Piast Gliwice. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Śląsk WrocławŚląsk Wrocław–
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice–

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

130%
X25%
245%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Śląsk Wrocław33%67%66%34%
Piast Gliwice22%78%53%47%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Śląsk Wrocław88%12%96%4%
Piast Gliwice79%21%92%8%

1st Half

124%
X42%
234%

1st Score

143%
X6%
251%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

26%

1-1

16%

X-X

15%

X-2

15%

X-1

11%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.5%

1-2

9.9%

0-1

8.4%

2-1

7.6%

0-2

7.2%

1-0

7.0%

2-2

6.3%

0-0

5.5%

1-3

4.8%

2-0

4.3%

0-3

3.9%

2-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Śląsk Wrocław vs Piast Gliwice: the stats that stand out

Ekstraklasa

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Śląsk Wrocław: always on the scoresheet

Always on the scoresheet
Śląsk Wrocław1/10

Śląsk Wrocław failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 25%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Śląsk Wrocław vs Piast Gliwice: attack vs defence

Ekstraklasa

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Ekstraklasa teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Śląsk WrocławŚląsk Wrocław: weak attack, weak defence (1.36 xG, 1.91 xGA a game)
  • Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice: weak attack, weak defence (1.46 xG, 1.77 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Śląsk Wrocław vs Piast Gliwice form and luck check

Ekstraklasa

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ekstraklasa games

Piast Gliwice are taking more points than their chances usually bring

  • Śląsk Wrocław
    Śląsk WrocławBookmakers: 38% to win today.
    −3.7
  • Piast Gliwice
    Piast GliwiceBookmakers: 36% to win today.Clinical · +5 goals
    +5.6

Last 5 matches

Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
D
W
D
W
L
5th in table
Śląsk WrocławŚląsk Wrocław
W
L
L
L
L
15th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Śląsk Wrocław 17th of 18 · Piast Gliwice 8th of 18

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Śląsk Wrocław vs Piast Gliwice: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Ekstraklasa

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ekstraklasa gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Śląsk Wrocław and Piast Gliwice games more often than the Ekstraklasa average (60%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Śląsk Wrocław7 of 10
Piast Gliwice6 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Śląsk Wrocław8 of 10
Piast Gliwice6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 302 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Śląsk Wrocław vs Piast Gliwice corners, cards and goal times

Ekstraklasa

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 4.8
  • Cards: league 2.0
  • Goals before half-time: league 44%
  • Goals after 75': league 26%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
2/5
Śląsk WrocławŚląsk Wrocław
3/5

Both Teams to Score

Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
5/5
Śląsk WrocławŚląsk Wrocław
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
3/5
Śląsk WrocławŚląsk Wrocław
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
3/5
Śląsk WrocławŚląsk Wrocław
3/5

First Half Result

Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
3/5
Śląsk WrocławŚląsk Wrocław
1/5

Correct Score

Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
1/5
Śląsk WrocławŚląsk Wrocław
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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