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Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Ekstraklasa - Season 2025/2026 (Round 19)

Fair result
Górnik ZabrzeGórnik Zabrze

2–1

Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
1.9Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Górnik Zabrze would usually take 2.1 points and Piast Gliwice 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Górnik Zabrze.

Górnik Zabrze +0.9 pts vs chancesPiast Gliwice −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice stats: how the match was played

Ekstraklasa

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Górnik Zabrze had more than twice the shots on target

Górnik Zabrze

Piast Gliwice

8

Shots on target

1

3

Big chances

2

3

Corners

2

1

Yellow cards

0

48%

Possession

52%

The match between Górnik Zabrze and Piast Gliwice ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Górnik Zabrze win with 53% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Widzew Lodz – Górnik Zabrze prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ekstraklasa

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Górnik Zabrze to win

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,469 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.8% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,837 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Górnik Zabrze Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Górnik Zabrze 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Piast Gliwice Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Piast Gliwice 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,574 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Górnik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ekstraklasa - Poland
Górnik ZabrzeGórnik Zabrze2
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

153%
X23%
223%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Górnik Zabrze21%79%51%49%
Piast Gliwice41%59%75%25%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Górnik Zabrze77%23%91%9%
Piast Gliwice92%8%98%2%

1st Half

139%
X41%
220%

1st Score

156%
X7%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

31%

X-1

18%

X-X

15%

2-2

12%

X-2

9%

1-X

5%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

1-0

11.3%

2-1

10.7%

2-0

8.9%

0-0

7.0%

0-1

6.8%

1-2

5.9%

3-1

5.3%

3-0

4.9%

2-2

4.3%

3-2

3.4%

0-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Widzew Lodz – Górnik Zabrze prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

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