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Wisła Płock vs Arka Gdynia 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

Ekstraklasa - Season 2025/2026 (Round 24)

Fair result
Wisła PłockWisła Płock

0–3

Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia
1.1Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Wisła Płock would usually take 1.0 points and Arka Gdynia 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Wisła Płock.

Wisła Płock −1.0 pts vs chancesArka Gdynia +1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Wisła Płock vs Arka Gdynia stats: how the match was played

Ekstraklasa

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Arka Gdynia had more than twice the shots on target

Wisła Płock

Arka Gdynia

1

Shots on target

5

1

Big chances

6

6

Corners

2

2

Yellow cards

1

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Wisła Płock and Arka Gdynia ended 0-3. Our AI model predicted a Wisła Płock win at 49% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Jagiellonia Białystok – Wisła Płock prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Wisła Płock vs Arka Gdynia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ekstraklasa

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wisła Płock to win

Wrong
Our model 49%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,478 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 6,452 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,144 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 6,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Wisła Płock Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wisła Płock 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Arka Gdynia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Arka Gdynia 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 73%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,349 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Wisła Płock vs Arka Gdynia 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Wisła Płock vs Arka Gdynia. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ekstraklasa - Poland
Wisła PłockWisła Płock0
Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia3

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

149%
X26%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT64%37%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Wisła Płock23%78%54%46%
Arka Gdynia39%61%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Wisła Płock80%20%93%7%
Arka Gdynia91%9%98%2%

1st Half

139%
X41%
220%

1st Score

157%
X8%
235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

31%

X-1

17%

X-X

15%

2-2

13%

X-2

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.8%

1-0

11.8%

2-1

10.1%

2-0

8.4%

0-0

7.7%

0-1

7.3%

1-2

6.4%

2-2

5.1%

3-0

4.7%

3-1

4.6%

0-2

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Jagiellonia Białystok – Wisła Płock prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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