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Radomiak Radom vs Legia Warszawa 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Ekstraklasa - Season 2025/2026 (Round 25)

Robbed

Legia Warszawa drew despite more chances

Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom

1–1

Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
0.5Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Radomiak Radom would usually take 0.7 points and Legia Warszawa 2.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Radomiak Radom.

Radomiak Radom +0.3 pts vs chancesLegia Warszawa −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Radomiak Radom vs Legia Warszawa stats: how the match was played

Ekstraklasa

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Legia Warszawa had more than twice the shots on target

Radomiak Radom

Legia Warszawa

1

Shots on target

6

1

Big chances

3

3

Corners

7

2

Yellow cards

1

59%

Possession

42%

The match between Radomiak Radom and Legia Warszawa ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Radomiak Radom win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Pogoń Szczecin – Radomiak Radom prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Radomiak Radom vs Legia Warszawa — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ekstraklasa

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Radomiak Radom to win

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 3,599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,690 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 4,556 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 42%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Radomiak Radom Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Radomiak Radom 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Legia Warszawa Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Legia Warszawa 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,265 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Radomiak Radom vs Legia Warszawa 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Radomiak Radom vs Legia Warszawa. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ekstraklasa - Poland
Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

142%
X26%
232%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Radomiak Radom26%74%59%42%
Legia Warszawa32%68%66%34%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Radomiak Radom83%17%94%6%
Legia Warszawa87%13%96%4%

1st Half

132%
X42%
226%

1st Score

149%
X7%
244%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

2-2

17%

X-X

16%

X-1

15%

X-2

11%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

12.4%

1-0

9.7%

2-1

9.2%

0-1

8.0%

1-2

7.6%

2-0

6.8%

0-0

6.7%

2-2

5.8%

0-2

5.1%

3-1

4.4%

3-0

3.2%

1-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Pogoń Szczecin – Radomiak Radom prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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