2. Leagues
  3. Ekstraklasa
  4. Wisła Płock vs Korona Kielce

Wisła Płock vs Korona Kielce 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Smash-and-grab

Korona Kielce won with fewer chances than Wisła Płock

Wisła PłockWisła Płock

0–2

Korona KielceKorona Kielce
1.9Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Wisła Płock would usually take 2.0 points and Korona Kielce 0.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Wisła Płock.

Wisła Płock −2.0 pts vs chancesKorona Kielce +2.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Wisła Płock vs Korona Kielce stats: how the match was played

Ekstraklasa

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Wisła Płock

Korona Kielce

4

Shots on target

4

4

Big chances

1

10

Corners

0

1

Yellow cards

0

56%

Possession

44%

The match between Wisła Płock and Korona Kielce ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Korona Kielce win with 36% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Wisła Płock – Piast Gliwice prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Wisła Płock vs Korona Kielce — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ekstraklasa

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Korona Kielce to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Wisła Płock to win.

Our model 37%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,642 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 45%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 4,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Wisła Płock Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wisła Płock 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,667 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Korona Kielce Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Korona Kielce 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,290 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Wisła Płock vs Korona Kielce 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Wisła Płock vs Korona Kielce. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ekstraklasa - Poland
Wisła PłockWisła Płock0
Korona KielceKorona Kielce2

Winner

12 72%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

136%
X28%
236%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Wisła Płock31%69%66%34%
Korona Kielce31%69%65%35%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Wisła Płock88%12%97%4%
Korona Kielce87%13%96%4%

1st Half

127%
X45%
228%

1st Score

147%
X9%
244%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

20%

1-1

19%

X-X

19%

X-1

13%

X-2

13%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.3%

1-0

10.3%

0-1

9.9%

0-0

8.6%

1-2

8.3%

2-1

8.3%

0-2

6.1%

2-0

6.0%

2-2

5.2%

1-3

3.3%

3-1

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Wisła Płock – Piast Gliwice prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores