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Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze 1-3 Score & Prediction Review
Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Jagiellonia Białystok1–3
Górnik ZabrzeOn these chances Jagiellonia Białystok would usually take 0.9 points and Górnik Zabrze 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Górnik Zabrze.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze stats: how the match was played
Ekstraklasa
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Górnik Zabrze had more than twice the shots on target
Jagiellonia Białystok
Górnik Zabrze
3
Shots on target
9
1
Big chances
4
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow cards
4
57%
Possession
43%
Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ekstraklasa
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Jagiellonia Białystok to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Górnik Zabrze to win.
Our track record
In 1,057 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,153 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Jagiellonia Białystok 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Górnik Zabrze 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Jagiellonia Białystok1
Górnik Zabrze3Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Jagiellonia Białystok1Górnik Zabrze3Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 57% | 43% |
| 36% | 64% | 70% | 30% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 94% | 6% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
X-X
18%
2-2
15%
X-1
14%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze — Recent Form
Górnik Zabrze have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Jagiellonia Białystok have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Górnik ZabrzeJagiellonia BiałystokOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Jagiellonia BiałystokGórnik ZabrzeBoth Teams to Score
Jagiellonia BiałystokGórnik ZabrzeOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Jagiellonia BiałystokGórnik ZabrzeOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Jagiellonia BiałystokGórnik ZabrzeFirst Half Result
Jagiellonia BiałystokGórnik ZabrzeCorrect Score
Jagiellonia BiałystokGórnik Zabrze