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Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz

Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Fair result

Piast Gliwice

2–1

Widzew Lodz

1.8Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Piast Gliwice would usually take 1.4 points and Widzew Lodz 1.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Widzew Lodz.

Piast Gliwice +1.6 pts vs chancesWidzew Lodz −1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz stats: how the match was played

Ekstraklasa

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Piast Gliwice had clearly more shots on target

Piast Gliwice

Widzew Lodz

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

56%

Possession

44%

The match between Piast Gliwice and Widzew Lodz ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Piast Gliwice win with 40% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Widzew Lodz – Górnik Zabrze prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ekstraklasa

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Piast Gliwice to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Widzew Lodz to win.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 1,055 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,690 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 2,837 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Piast Gliwice Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Piast Gliwice 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,462 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Widzew Lodz Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Widzew Lodz 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,268 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Ekstraklasa - Poland

Piast Gliwice2

Widzew Lodz1

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

· FT

Ekstraklasa - Poland

Piast Gliwice2

Widzew Lodz1

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

140%

X29%

231%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%	63%	37%	86%	14%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	26%	74%	51%	49%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	63%	37%	86%	14%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	27%	73%	60%	40%	84%	16%	95%	5%
	33%	67%	67%	33%	89%	11%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	27%	73%	60%	40%
	33%	67%	67%	33%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	84%	16%	95%	5%
	89%	11%	97%	3%

1st Half

130%

X46%

224%

1st Score

151%

X8%

240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

X-X

19%

2-2

17%

X-1

14%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.8%

1-0

9.8%

2-1

9.1%

0-0

8.3%

0-1

8.0%

1-2

7.8%

2-0

7.1%

2-2

6.2%

0-2

5.2%

3-1

3.7%

3-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz — Recent Form

Piast Gliwice have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Widzew Lodz have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Piast Gliwice

Widzew Lodz

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Piast Gliwice

3/5

Widzew Lodz

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Piast Gliwice

3/5

Widzew Lodz

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Piast Gliwice

2/5

Widzew Lodz

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Piast Gliwice

5/5

Widzew Lodz

4/5

First Half Result

Piast Gliwice

3/5

Widzew Lodz

5/5

Correct Score

Piast Gliwice

1/5

Widzew Lodz

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Widzew Lodz – Górnik Zabrze prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).