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Start vs Sandefjord

Start vs Sandefjord 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 12)

Fair result

Start

1–0

Sandefjord

0.9Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Start would usually take 1.2 points and Sandefjord 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Start.

Start +1.8 pts vs chancesSandefjord −1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Start vs Sandefjord stats: how the match was played

Eliteserien

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Start had more than twice the shots on target

Start

Sandefjord

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

32%

Possession

68%

The match between Start and Sandefjord ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Start win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Aalesund – Sandefjord prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Start vs Sandefjord — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eliteserien

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Start to win

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 3,517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,491 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 63%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,119 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 951 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.9%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 40%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,002 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.5% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Start Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Start 2+ goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Start 0–1 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Sandefjord Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sandefjord 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,659 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Start vs Sandefjord 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Start vs Sandefjord. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Eliteserien - Norway

Start1

Sandefjord0

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

Yes 64%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

· FT

Eliteserien - Norway

Start1

Sandefjord0

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

Yes 64%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

Full Time

146%

X23%

231%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	17%	83%	37%	63%	49%	51%	74%	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	17%	83%	37%	63%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	49%	51%	74%	26%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	21%	79%	49%	51%	74%	26%	89%	11%
	31%	69%	61%	39%	83%	17%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	49%	51%
	31%	69%	61%	39%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	74%	26%	89%	11%
	83%	17%	94%	6%

1st Half

136%

X39%

224%

1st Score

160%

X4%

236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

2-2

17%

X-1

15%

X-X

13%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

9.9%

2-1

9.4%

1-0

7.3%

1-2

7.0%

2-2

6.8%

2-0

5.9%

3-1

5.4%

0-1

5.4%

0-0

4.3%

3-2

4.1%

0-2

4.0%

3-0

3.6%

1-3

3.5%

2-3

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Start vs Sandefjord — Recent Form

Start have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table. Sandefjord have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Start

Sandefjord

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sandefjord

3/5

Start

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Sandefjord

2/5

Start

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sandefjord

2/5

Start

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sandefjord

5/5

Start

3/5

First Half Result

Sandefjord

4/5

Start

4/5

Correct Score

Sandefjord

0/5

Start

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Aalesund – Sandefjord prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).