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Aalesund vs Sandefjord

Aalesund vs Sandefjord Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 25)

Wasteful

Sandefjord are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring

−5goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10

77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Sandefjord 28% to winAalesund 49%

Aalesund vs Sandefjord score prediction

Eliteserien

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

3.5 goals in total, a little over the Eliteserien average of 3.3.

goals expected

Aalesund2.0

Sandefjord1.5

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Aalesund vs Sandefjord: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Aalesund vs Sandefjord — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eliteserien

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Aalesund to win

Our model 42%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,634 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Aalesund vs Sandefjord — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Aalesund vs Sandefjord. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Eliteserien - Norway

Aalesund–

Sandefjord–

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Eliteserien - Norway

Aalesund–

Sandefjord–

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

142%

X25%

233%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	41%	59%	52%	48%	76%	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	41%	59%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	52%	48%	76%	24%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	25%	75%	54%	46%	78%	22%	91%	9%
	31%	69%	61%	39%	83%	17%	93%	7%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	54%	46%
	31%	69%	61%	39%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	78%	22%	91%	9%
	83%	17%	93%	7%

1st Half

133%

X38%

229%

1st Score

151%

X6%

243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

2-2

19%

X-1

14%

X-X

13%

X-2

12%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.5%

2-1

8.1%

1-0

8.0%

1-2

7.2%

0-1

6.6%

2-2

6.5%

2-0

5.9%

0-0

5.7%

3-1

4.5%

0-2

4.4%

3-2

3.5%

2-3

3.2%

1-3

3.2%

3-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Aalesund vs Sandefjord: the stats that stand out

Eliteserien

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Sandefjord: shot-shy and slow starters

Shot-shy

5/10

Sandefjord failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 22%).

Slow starters

3/10

Sandefjord scored first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 49%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Aalesund vs Sandefjord: attack vs defence

Eliteserien

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Eliteserien teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

Aalesund: good attack, weak defence (1.81 xG, 1.90 xGA a game)
Sandefjord: weak attack, weak defence (1.39 xG, 1.85 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Aalesund vs Sandefjord form and luck check

Eliteserien

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Eliteserien games

Both results in line with their chances

AalesundBookmakers: 49% to win today.
−0.5
SandefjordBookmakers: 28% to win today.Wasteful · −5 goals
−1.5

Last 5 matches

Aalesund

14th in table

Sandefjord

13th in table

Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Aalesund 13th of 16 · Sandefjord 10th of 16

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Aalesund vs Sandefjord: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Eliteserien

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Eliteserien gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Aalesund games more often than the Eliteserien average (59%), in Sandefjord games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 64%

Aalesund7 of 10

Sandefjord4 of 10

BTTSleague 59%

Aalesund9 of 10

Sandefjord4 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 228 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Aalesund vs Sandefjord corners, cards and goal times

Eliteserien

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Aalesund score early

Aalesund

Sandefjord

6.3

Corners won · league 5.4

4.2

7.3

Corners conceded · league 5.4

5.4

2.2

Cards · league 1.8

2.4

1.6

Opponents' cards · league 1.8

2.0

65%

Goals before half-time · league 48%

11%

10%

Goals after 75' · league 22%

22%

32%

Conceded before half-time · league 48%

62%

23%

Conceded after 75' · league 22%

23%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Aalesund

3/5

Sandefjord

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Aalesund

4/5

Sandefjord

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Aalesund

4/5

Sandefjord

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Aalesund

3/5

Sandefjord

5/5

First Half Result

Aalesund

1/5

Sandefjord

3/5

Correct Score

Aalesund

0/5

Sandefjord

1/5

correct predictionwrong prediction