Always on the scoresheet
0/10Aalesund scored in all of their last 10 (league 22% fail to score).
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Lillestrøm vs Aalesund Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Eliteserien - Season 2026 (Round 26)
Goal-fest alert
More goals than usual expected in Lillestrøm vs Aalesund
3.6goals expected · Eliteserien average 3.3
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Lillestrøm vs Aalesund score prediction
Eliteserien
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.6 goals expected
3.6 goals in total: more goals than a typical Eliteserien game (average 3.3).
goals expected
Lillestrøm2.2Aalesund1.4Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →The match Lillestrøm vs Aalesund will be played on Sunday, November 8 as part of the 2026 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 26 of the Eliteserien, played in Norway. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Lillestrøm vs Aalesund, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Lillestrøm vs Aalesund — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Lillestrøm vs Aalesund. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Lillestrøm–
Aalesund–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 70%
Correct Score
1-1 08%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 72%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 61%
Lillestrøm–Aalesund–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 70%
Correct Score
1-1 08%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 72%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 61%
Full Time
145%
X23%
233%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 12% | 88% | 28% | 72% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 39% | 61% | 65% | 35% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 45% | 55% |
| 29% | 71% | 55% | 45% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69% | 31% | 85% | 15% |
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
138%
X35%
228%
1st Score
152%
X3%
245%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
2-2
19%
X-1
13%
X-X
11%
X-2
10%
2-X
7%
1-X
6%
1-2
4%
2-1
4%
Correct Score
1-1
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
1-0
4.8%
3-2
4.7%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
0-1
3.8%
3-0
3.3%
0-2
3.2%
3-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Lillestrøm vs Aalesund: the stats that stand out
Eliteserien
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Aalesund: always on the scoresheet · Lillestrøm: flop as favourites
0/10Flop as favourites
2/6Lillestrøm won only 2 of 6 as favourites (league 58%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Lillestrøm vs Aalesund: attack vs defence
Eliteserien
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Eliteserien teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Lillestrøm: weak attack, weak defence (1.45 xG, 2.01 xGA a game)
- Aalesund: good attack, weak defence (1.69 xG, 1.95 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Lillestrøm vs Aalesund form and luck check
Eliteserien
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Eliteserien gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Lillestrøm+3.6
- AalesundClinical · +3 goals−0.7
Last 5 matches
LillestrømW
W
D
L
W
AalesundL
W
L
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Lillestrøm 8th of 16 · Aalesund 12th of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Lillestrøm vs Aalesund: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Eliteserien
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Eliteserien gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Aalesund games more often than the Eliteserien average (60%), in Lillestrøm games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 64%
Lillestrøm6 of 10
Aalesund8 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Lillestrøm5 of 10
Aalesund9 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 232 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Lillestrøm vs Aalesund corners, cards and goal times
Eliteserien
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameBoth sides score early
Lillestrøm
Aalesund
5.2
Corners won · league 5.4
6.3
6.5
Corners conceded · league 5.4
8.3
1.7
Cards · league 1.8
2.1
1.9
Opponents' cards · league 1.8
1.4
62%
Goals before half-time · league 48%
67%
23%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
10%
47%
Conceded before half-time · league 48%
29%
37%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
29%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Aalesund3/5
Lillestrøm2/5
Both Teams to Score
Aalesund5/5
Lillestrøm2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Aalesund5/5
Lillestrøm3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Aalesund3/5
Lillestrøm3/5
First Half Result
Aalesund1/5
Lillestrøm2/5
Correct Score
Aalesund0/5
Lillestrøm0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction