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Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Europa Conference League - Season 2025/2026 Quarter-finals (Knock Out)

The match between Rayo Vallecano and AEK Athens ended 3-0. Our AI model predicted an AEK Athens win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens — Europa Conference League Prediction Accuracy

Season 2025/2026 · Quarter-finals

Full-Time Result

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
53.8%(7/13)

+23.1% Strongly above implied probability

AEK AthensAEK Athens
56.3%(9/16)

+28.8% Strongly above implied probability

43.7% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
92.3%(12/13)

+70.6% Strongly above implied probability

AEK AthensAEK Athens
56.3%(9/16)

+4.1% Above implied probability

54.1% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
61.5%(8/13)

+14.5% Strongly above implied probability

AEK AthensAEK Athens
37.5%(6/16)

-30.2% Below implied probability

53.7% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
61.5%(8/13)

+0% Above implied probability

AEK AthensAEK Athens
56.3%(9/16)

-8.5% Near implied probability

61.5% Implied Probability

First Half Result

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
53.8%(7/13)

+41.2% Strongly above implied probability

AEK AthensAEK Athens
37.5%(6/16)

-1.6% Near implied probability

38.1% Implied Probability

Correct Score

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
0%(0/13)
AEK AthensAEK Athens
6.3%(1/16)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Rayo Vallecano and AEK Athens across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Both Teams To Score predictions for Rayo Vallecano hit at 92% accuracy — that's 70.6% above the bookmaker baseline of 54.1%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for AEK Athens sit 30.2% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time
132%
X29%
239%
Goals Over/Under
<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT35%65%61%39%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
71%29%90%10%
1st Half
127%
X43%
230%
Half Time/Full Time
1-11-XX-1
19%5%13%
2-22-XX-2
24%5%14%
1-2X-X2-1
2%17%2%
1st Score
145%
X12%
243%
Team Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693035958/mygameodds/teams/iq8apoq7egjuxd70m6q3.png logo38%62%73%27%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693039651/mygameodds/teams/in5bkkvxyyfaryvf0tky.png logo33%67%67%33%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693035958/mygameodds/teams/iq8apoq7egjuxd70m6q3.png logo91%9%97%3%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693039651/mygameodds/teams/in5bkkvxyyfaryvf0tky.png logo88%12%96%4%
Correct Score
0-11-10-01-01-20-22-1
13.0%12.6%11.6%10.7%7.9%7.4%6.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens — Prediction Form & Streaks

Full-Time Result

Correct Streak
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
2 in a row
AEK AthensAEK Athens
1 in a row

Both Teams To Score

Correct Streak
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
0 in a row
AEK AthensAEK Athens
2 in a row

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Correct Streak
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
2 in a row
AEK AthensAEK Athens
1 in a row

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Correct Streak
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
1 in a row
AEK AthensAEK Athens
0 in a row

First Half Result

Correct Streak
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
2 in a row
AEK AthensAEK Athens
1 in a row

Correct Score

Correct Streak
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
0 in a row
AEK AthensAEK Athens
0 in a row

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