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Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens

Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Europa Conference League - Season 2025/2026 Quarter-finals (Knock Out)

The match between Rayo Vallecano and AEK Athens ended 3-0. Our AI model predicted an AEK Athens win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens — Europa Conference League Prediction Accuracy

Season 2025/2026 · Quarter-finals

Full-Time Result →

Rayo Vallecano

53.8%(7/13)

+23.1% Strongly above implied probability

AEK Athens

56.3%(9/16)

+28.8% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 43.7% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score →

Rayo Vallecano

92.3%(12/13)

+70.6% Strongly above implied probability

AEK Athens

56.3%(9/16)

+4.1% Above implied probability

┊ 54.1% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →

Rayo Vallecano

61.5%(8/13)

+14.5% Strongly above implied probability

AEK Athens

37.5%(6/16)

-30.2% Below implied probability

┊ 53.7% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →

Rayo Vallecano

61.5%(8/13)

+0% Above implied probability

AEK Athens

56.3%(9/16)

-8.5% Near implied probability

┊ 61.5% Implied Probability

First Half Result →

Rayo Vallecano

53.8%(7/13)

+41.2% Strongly above implied probability

AEK Athens

37.5%(6/16)

-1.6% Near implied probability

┊ 38.1% Implied Probability

Correct Score →

Rayo Vallecano

0%(0/13)

AEK Athens

6.3%(1/16)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Rayo Vallecano and AEK Athens across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Both Teams To Score predictions for Rayo Vallecano hit at 92% accuracy — that's 70.6% above the bookmaker baseline of 54.1%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for AEK Athens sit 30.2% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time


1	32%
X	29%
2	39%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	35%	65%	61%	39%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	71%	29%	90%	10%

1st Half


1	27%
X	43%
2	30%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
19%	5%	13%
2-2	2-X	X-2
24%	5%	14%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	17%	2%

1st Score


1	45%
X	12%
2	43%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
38%	62%	73%	27%
33%	67%	67%	33%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
91%	9%	97%	3%
88%	12%	96%	4%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-0	1-0	1-2	0-2	2-1	2-0	2-2	1-3
13.0%	12.6%	11.6%	10.7%	7.9%	7.4%	6.7%	5.6%	4.0%	3.0%

Full Time


1	32%
X	29%
2	39%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	35%	65%	61%	39%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	71%	29%	90%	10%

1st Half


1	27%
X	43%
2	30%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
19%	5%	13%
2-2	2-X	X-2
24%	5%	14%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	17%	2%

1st Score


1	45%
X	12%
2	43%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
38%	62%	73%	27%
33%	67%	67%	33%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
91%	9%	97%	3%
88%	12%	96%	4%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-0	1-0	1-2	0-2	2-1
13.0%	12.6%	11.6%	10.7%	7.9%	7.4%	6.7%

Full Time


1	32%
X	29%
2	39%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	35%	65%	61%	39%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	71%	29%	90%	10%

1st Half


1	27%
X	43%
2	30%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
19%	5%	13%
2-2	2-X	X-2
24%	5%	14%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	17%	2%

1st Score


1	45%
X	12%
2	43%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
38%	62%	73%	27%
33%	67%	67%	33%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
91%	9%	97%	3%
88%	12%	96%	4%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-0	1-0	1-2	0-2	2-1	2-0	2-2	1-3
13.0%	12.6%	11.6%	10.7%	7.9%	7.4%	6.7%	5.6%	4.0%	3.0%

Full Time


1	32%
X	29%
2	39%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	35%	65%	61%	39%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	71%	29%	90%	10%

1st Half


1	27%
X	43%
2	30%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
19%	5%	13%
2-2	2-X	X-2
24%	5%	14%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	17%	2%

1st Score


1	45%
X	12%
2	43%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
38%	62%	73%	27%
33%	67%	67%	33%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
91%	9%	97%	3%
88%	12%	96%	4%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-0	1-0	1-2	0-2	2-1
13.0%	12.6%	11.6%	10.7%	7.9%	7.4%	6.7%

0 in a row

AEK Athens

0 in a row