Always chasing
7/10Celtic conceded first in 7 of their last 10 (league 48%).
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Celtic vs Celta de Vigo Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Clinical
Celtic are scoring more goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
+4goals more than their chances (xG) in their last 10
80% of teams scoring this many more goals than their chances scored fewer in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Celtic 35% to winCelta de Vigo 37%
Celtic vs Celta de Vigo score prediction
Europa League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.9 goals in total, a little over the Europa League average of 2.8.
goals expected
Celtic1.4
Celta de Vigo1.4Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Celtic vs Celta de Vigo: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Celtic vs Celta de Vigo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Celtic to win
Our model 58%Bookmakers 35%
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 51%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 3,119 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 71%Bookmakers 69%
Our track record
In 4,557 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Celtic ahead at half-time
Our model 48%Bookmakers 29%
Our track record
In 540 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.
Celtic Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Celtic 2+ goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 40%
Our track record
In 1,851 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Celta de Vigo Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Celta de Vigo 0–1 goals
Our model 79%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 2,580 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Celtic vs Celta de Vigo — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Celtic vs Celta de Vigo. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Celtic–
Celta de Vigo–Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Celtic–Celta de Vigo–Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
158%
X24%
218%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 82% | 47% | 53% |
| 47% | 53% | 79% | 21% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 27% | 88% | 12% |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
148%
X36%
215%
1st Score
163%
X7%
230%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
44%
X-1
18%
X-X
12%
2-2
9%
X-2
5%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
11.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Celtic vs Celta de Vigo: the stats that stand out
Europa League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Celtic: always chasing, leaky and always on the scoresheet
7/10Leaky
1/10Celtic kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 27%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10Celtic failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 27%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Celtic vs Celta de Vigo: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Europa League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Europa League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredCeltic games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Europa League average (56%), Celta de Vigo games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 56%
Celtic9 of 10
Celta de Vigo5 of 10
BTTSleague 50%
Celtic8 of 10
Celta de Vigo6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 189 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Celtic vs Celta de Vigo form and luck check
Europa League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Europa League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- CelticBookmakers: 35% to win today.Clinical · +4 goals+2.4
- Celta de VigoBookmakers: 37% to win today.−0.5
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Celtic vs Celta de Vigo corners, cards and goal times
Europa League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameCeltic score early
Celtic
Celta de Vigo
5.8
Corners won · league 4.6
3.8
6.3
Corners conceded · league 4.6
4.0
1.3
Cards · league 2.1
2.6
1.6
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
1.5
63%
Goals before half-time · league 48%
45%
13%
Goals after 75' · league 20%
27%
70%
Conceded before half-time · league 48%
31%
9%
Conceded after 75' · league 20%
54%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Celta de Vigo2/2
Celtic1/2
Both Teams to Score
Celta de Vigo1/2
Celtic2/2
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Celta de Vigo1/2
Celtic2/2
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Celta de Vigo2/2
Celtic0/2
First Half Result
Celta de Vigo1/2
Celtic1/2
Correct Score
Celta de Vigo0/2
Celtic0/2
correct predictionwrong prediction