Home
Leagues
Europa League
AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi

AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Milan vs Ferencváros: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Milan vs Ferencváros — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Milan to win

Our model 46%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,477 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Milan vs Ferencváros — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Milan vs Ferencváros. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Europa League - Europe

Milan–

Ferencváros–

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Europa League - Europe

Milan–

Ferencváros–

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

146%

X24%

230%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%	55%	45%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	42%	58%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	55%	45%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	52%	48%	77%	23%	91%	9%
	33%	67%	66%	34%	86%	14%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	52%	48%
	33%	67%	66%	34%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	77%	23%	91%	9%
	86%	14%	95%	5%

1st Half

133%

X39%

229%

1st Score

153%

X5%

242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

2-2

21%

X-1

15%

X-X

14%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.0%

2-1

9.6%

1-0

8.4%

1-2

7.0%

2-0

6.9%

0-1

6.7%

2-2

6.0%

0-0

5.4%

3-1

5.1%

3-0

4.3%

0-2

4.1%

3-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Milan vs Ferencváros: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Europa League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Europa League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Ferencváros games more often than the Europa League average (50%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 56%

Ferencváros6 of 10

BTTSleague 50%

Ferencváros6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 189 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Milan vs Ferencváros form and luck check

Europa League

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Europa League games

Ferencváros: results in line with their chances

FerencvárosBookmakers: 13% to win today.
+3.8

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

How we measure →

Milan vs Ferencváros corners, cards and goal times

Europa League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Goal times close to the Europa League average

Milan

Ferencváros

–

Corners won · league 4.6

3.8

–

Corners conceded · league 4.6

6.1

–

Cards · league 2.1

2.4

–

Opponents' cards · league 2.1

2.5

–

Goals before half-time · league 48%

50%

–

Goals after 75' · league 20%

–

Conceded before half-time · league 48%

53%

–

Conceded after 75' · league 20%

20%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Milan

2/3

Ferencváros

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Milan

1/3

Ferencváros

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Milan

1/3

Ferencváros

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Milan

2/3

Ferencváros

2/5

First Half Result

Milan

1/3

Ferencváros

1/5

Correct Score

Milan

0/3

Ferencváros

0/5

correct predictionwrong prediction